Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox v Chicago White Sox

Início: 2026-08-05 23:11 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 4–0 Chicago White Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Previsão 57.22%1.75odd justa
EV -1.00%
Vantagem -0.580%
Kelly -1.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.84%57.30%57.22%58.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.681.681.7362.50%59.68%59.52%57.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 42.78%2.34odd justa
EV +1.38%
Vantagem +0.583%
Kelly +1.01%
Crescimento +0.014%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.03%42.70%42.78%44.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.222.222.3747.62%44.95%45.05%42.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Boston Red Sox (Local): 57.22%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 42.78%. Para Chicago White Sox (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.34. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.37, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.38%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.52%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.48%EV +1.38%E +0.583%K +1.01%G +0.014%1.7%2026-08-05 23:10
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -3.29%E -1.95%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV +0.526%E +0.224%K +0.389%G +0.002%1.7%2026-08-05 22:51
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -3.29%E -1.95%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV +0.526%E +0.224%K +0.389%G +0.002%1.7%2026-08-05 23:10
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV +0.098%E +0.042%K +0.073%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -0.758%E -0.327%K -0.574%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -0.758%E -0.327%K -0.574%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 23:10
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -6.15%E -3.75%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -1.19%E -0.513%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 23:09
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.61%E -0.701%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-05 22:45
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.29%E -1.95%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.61%E -0.701%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 23:09
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.61%E -0.701%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.44%E -5.28%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.61%E -0.701%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 23:10
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.04%E -0.891%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-05 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.58%E -0.916%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.47%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-05 22:10
theScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-05 22:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 23:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.29%E -1.95%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-05 22:50
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.29%E -1.95%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-05 22:14
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 23:09
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 22:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 23:10
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 22:50
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 23:10
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 23:10
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.01%E -3.02%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.61%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -5.04%E -2.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 23:10
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.04%E -2.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:10
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.04%E -2.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.01%E -3.02%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.04%E -2.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:50
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.01%E -3.02%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.04%E -2.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.01%E -3.02%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.04%E -2.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 23:09
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -1.00%E -0.580%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 22:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -1.00%E -0.580%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 22:25
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:15
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 23:10
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 23:09
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.01%E -3.02%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 23:00
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.30%E -4.51%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 22:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.75%E -3.09%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.75%E -3.09%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:25
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.17%E -3.31%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.17%E -3.31%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:30
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.17%E -3.31%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.17%E -3.31%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:30
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.17%E -3.31%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:25
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.17%E -3.31%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:30
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.60%E -3.52%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 22:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.01%E -3.02%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 23:00
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 22:59
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -8.46%E -3.95%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -8.46%E -3.95%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 22:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -6.73%E -4.13%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -8.46%E -3.95%K -7.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 22:48
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -6.15%E -3.75%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-05 22:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-08-05 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-08-05 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-08-05 23:00
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-05 22:20
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-05 23:10
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-08-05 23:10
Novig◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.67%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.33%1.4%2026-08-05 23:10
ProphetX◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-08-05 23:10
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.9%2026-08-05 23:10
BetOpenly◎1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%4.6%2026-08-05 23:00