Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox v Chicago White Sox

2026-08-05 23:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Predicción 52.27%1.91momio equitativo
EV -0.686%
Ventaja -0.361%
Kelly -0.762%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%52.27%52.22%54.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.681.811.831.9059.52%55.17%54.64%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 47.73%2.10momio equitativo
EV +0.232%
Ventaja +0.110%
Kelly +0.211%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.03%47.73%47.78%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.902.002.002.1052.63%49.90%50.00%47.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Boston Red Sox (Local): 52.27%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 47.73%. Para Chicago White Sox (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.095. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.100, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.232%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -10.09%E -5.87%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +0.232%E +0.110%K +0.211%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 02:25
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.25%E -1.21%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.68%E -0.814%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-05 00:55
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.30%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.68%E -0.814%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 23:40
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.25%E -1.21%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.15%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:00
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.25%E -1.21%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.15%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:04
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.25%E -1.21%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.15%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:15
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.25%E -1.21%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.15%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 00:14
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.15%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:14
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.25%E -1.21%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.63%E -1.29%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.25%E -1.21%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.63%E -1.29%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 01:48
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 01:39
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 01:40
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 01:40
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 01:40
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 01:39
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 01:40
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 01:39
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 01:40
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 01:39
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 01:40
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 01:39
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 01:40
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -12.19%E -7.25%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-05 01:40
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.06%E -2.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 22:59
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:00
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:05
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:00
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:05
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:14
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 01:49
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 02:29
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 02:24
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 00:35
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 23:15
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 22:50
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 22:49
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 22:49
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 02:39
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 02:25
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -2.78%E -1.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 18:35
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.82%E -2.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 23:05
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:05
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:59
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 01:35
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 01:34
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 23:02
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.30%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.97%E -3.03%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 21:40
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.30%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:35
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 23:04
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 01:23
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -8.36%E -4.35%K -9.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 23:15
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -8.36%E -4.35%K -9.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 23:45
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.686%E -0.361%K -0.762%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.31%E -4.90%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-08-05 02:40
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-08-05 02:30
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-04 23:20
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-08-04 23:10
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%2.9%2026-08-05 01:15
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%9.5%2026-08-05 02:40