Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Red Sox v Baltimore Orioles

Kickoff: 2026-06-02 22:45 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 2–4 Baltimore Orioles

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 55.15%1.81fair odd
EV -0.738%
Edge -0.410%
Kelly -0.923%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.23%55.10%55.19%55.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.731.731.8059.52%57.82%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visit)

Prediction 44.85%2.23fair odd
EV -0.423%
Edge -0.190%
Kelly -0.347%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.02%44.90%44.81%45.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.142.152.2248.78%46.74%46.51%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 55.15%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 44.85%. For Baltimore Orioles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.22, with an expected value of -0.423%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -0.738%E -0.410%K -0.923%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -3.11%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-02 00:20
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.29%E -0.720%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.67%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-02 22:40
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.39%E -1.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.32%E -0.600%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-02 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.39%E -1.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.22%E -1.02%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-02 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.39%E -1.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.22%E -1.02%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-02 22:40
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.39%E -1.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.22%E -1.02%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-02 22:40
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.39%E -1.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-02 22:40
Everygame🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.94%E -1.67%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.423%E -0.190%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-02 03:59
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.94%E -1.67%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.77%E -0.808%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-02 21:00
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.94%E -1.67%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.91%E -2.32%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.50%E -2.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 20:49
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.50%E -2.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 02:40
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 19:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-01 18:39
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 20:58
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 05:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 19:18
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 19:19
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-02 18:59
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.46%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-02 19:20
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 13:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.25%E -2.99%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -4.60%E -2.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -1.32%E -0.600%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-02 22:00
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.60%E -2.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.60%E -2.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 19:19
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.60%E -2.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.91%E -2.32%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 22:39
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.60%E -2.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.91%E -2.32%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 15:39
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.60%E -2.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-02 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.60%E -2.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-02 22:39
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.60%E -2.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.60%E -2.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-02 22:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.60%E -2.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-02 22:39
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.60%E -2.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-02 19:20
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.60%E -2.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-02 20:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.15%E -2.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.22%E -1.02%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 21:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.15%E -2.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.22%E -1.02%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 21:59
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.15%E -2.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.15%E -2.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 19:19
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.15%E -2.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.91%E -2.32%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 12:29
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.15%E -2.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.91%E -2.32%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 01:10
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.15%E -2.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.91%E -2.32%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 01:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.15%E -2.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 19:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.15%E -2.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 22:30
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.67%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 21:59
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.67%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.67%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 22:00
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.67%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 22:00
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.67%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.67%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 21:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.67%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 21:59
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.67%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 21:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 12:30
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 19:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-02 22:39
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-02 22:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.25%E -3.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 21:59
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.25%E -3.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.25%E -3.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 22:00
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.25%E -3.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.25%E -3.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 19:20
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.25%E -3.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.25%E -3.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.36%E -4.38%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -7.60%E -3.69%K -7.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-02 22:17
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-06-02 22:40
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-06-02 22:40
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-06-02 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-06-02 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-06-02 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-06-02 22:40
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-02 22:00
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-02 22:30
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-06-02 22:30
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-06-02 22:40