Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox v Athletics

Início: 2026-08-07 23:11 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 13–1 Athletics

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Previsão 71.17%1.41odd justa
EV -1.07%
Vantagem -0.769%
Kelly -2.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.85%71.22%70.97%73.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.351.351.3976.92%74.28%74.07%71.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Athletics (Visitante)

Previsão 28.83%3.47odd justa
EV +4.64%
Vantagem +1.28%
Kelly +1.77%
Crescimento +0.082%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.67%28.78%29.03%31.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.283.253.6332.79%30.48%30.77%27.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Boston Red Sox (Local): 71.17%; Athletics (Visitante): 28.83%. Para Athletics (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.47. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.63, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.64%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.33%EV -6.05%E -4.58%K -18.91%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.67%EV +4.64%E +1.28%K +1.77%G +0.082%3.3%2026-08-07 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%EV -3.20%E -2.36%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%EV +3.78%E +1.05%K +1.45%G +0.055%1.3%2026-08-07 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%EV -4.63%E -3.45%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%EV +3.78%E +1.05%K +1.45%G +0.055%2.4%2026-08-07 23:05
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -6.76%E -5.16%K -21.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +2.34%E +0.658%K +0.916%G +0.021%4.5%2026-08-07 23:05
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.05%E -4.58%K -18.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.895%E +0.256%K +0.358%G +0.003%4.3%2026-08-07 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.84%EV -3.20%E -2.36%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 28.16%EV +0.030%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.84%EV -3.20%E -2.36%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 28.16%EV +0.030%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%EV -2.49%E -1.82%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%EV -0.547%E -0.158%K -0.223%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.99%E -0.585%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.99%E -0.585%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 23:10
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.99%E -0.585%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 23:10
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.05%E -4.58%K -18.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.99%E -0.585%K -0.828%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:05
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -3.20%E -2.36%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -2.56%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-07 23:09
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -3.20%E -2.36%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -2.56%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-07 23:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -6.05%E -4.58%K -18.91%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -2.56%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 23:05
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%EV -1.07%E -0.769%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%EV -3.43%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-07 22:30
Caesars🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.82%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -3.43%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-07 19:05
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.43%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 23:10
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -4.29%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -4.29%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 23:05
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.20%E -2.36%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.87%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-07 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.92%E -2.90%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.87%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.92%E -2.90%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.87%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 23:10
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.92%E -2.90%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.87%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 23:10
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.92%E -2.90%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.87%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 23:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.05%E -4.58%K -18.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.87%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 17:05
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.48%E -5.75%K -24.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.87%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -3.20%E -2.36%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -5.45%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 23:04
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -1.78%E -1.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-07 20:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -1.78%E -1.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-07 20:15
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.20%E -2.36%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 20:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.20%E -2.36%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.20%E -2.36%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.20%E -2.36%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 22:50
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.92%E -2.90%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 17:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.92%E -2.90%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 17:25
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.92%E -2.90%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.45%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 23:10
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 23:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 23:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 23:09
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 23:09
BetAnything🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.49%E -1.82%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 22:30
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.20%E -2.36%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 20:15
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.20%E -2.36%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.20%E -2.36%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 20:15
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.20%E -2.36%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 20:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.20%E -2.36%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 20:15
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.20%E -2.36%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 20:14
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.92%E -2.90%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 22:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 22:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.63%E -3.45%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -9.19%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.63%E -3.45%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -9.19%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 20:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.63%E -3.45%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -9.19%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 20:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.19%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.19%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -10.06%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 22:59
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -10.06%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 22:58
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.20%E -2.36%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.64%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 19:59
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.05%E -4.58%K -18.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.64%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 20:35
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -1.78%E -1.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -12.08%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -1.78%E -1.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -12.08%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 22:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -12.08%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 22:43
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.88%0.5%2026-08-07 23:05
ProphetX◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-07 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-07 23:05
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-07 06:50
Polymarket◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-08-07 23:10
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-08-07 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-08-07 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-08-07 23:10
BetOpenly◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%2.2%2026-08-07 23:05
Smarkets◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.2%2026-08-07 23:05