Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox v Athletics

2026-08-07 23:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Predicción 68.60%1.46momio equitativo
EV -1.91%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -4.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.75%68.57%68.82%70.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.361.391.401.4373.53%71.83%71.43%69.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Athletics (Visitante)

Predicción 31.40%3.18momio equitativo
EV +3.63%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +1.58%
Crecimiento +0.057%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.82%31.43%31.18%33.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.753.033.043.3036.36%32.98%32.89%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Boston Red Sox (Local): 68.60%; Athletics (Visitante): 31.40%. Para Athletics (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.18. 7 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.30, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.63%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%EV +3.63%E +1.10%K +1.58%G +0.057%0.7%2026-08-07 00:45
Caesars🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -4.65%E -3.35%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV +2.06%E +0.635%K +0.917%G +0.019%2.7%2026-08-06 23:35
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001%4.8%2026-08-06 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001%4.8%2026-08-07 02:41
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001%4.8%2026-08-07 02:40
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001%4.8%2026-08-07 02:40
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.50%EV -3.97%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.50%EV +0.179%E +0.056%K +0.082%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 23:55
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-07 01:25
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.02%E -4.40%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.86%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 31.14%EV -1.39%E -0.443%K -0.650%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 00:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.86%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 31.14%EV -1.39%E -0.443%K -0.650%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 00:40
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -1.39%E -0.443%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 02:05
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -1.71%E -0.545%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 00:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.97%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 22:25
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.97%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 22:45
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.97%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 23:55
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.65%E -3.35%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 22:20
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 01:50
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 22:20
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 00:50
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 22:20
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.30%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.70%EV -3.90%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-07 00:40
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-07 00:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 00:20
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 22:30
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 01:10
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 01:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 01:15
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -1.91%E -1.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-07 00:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 23:25
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 23:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 23:25
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.97%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 01:00
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.97%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 02:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.97%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 02:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -6.10%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 00:50
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 23:25
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 23:25
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 23:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 23:25
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 23:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.97%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 00:50
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.97%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 23:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.97%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 00:50
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.97%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 00:50
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.97%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 00:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.97%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 00:50
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.97%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 00:55
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.97%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.56%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 00:55
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-06 23:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 00:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -6.02%E -4.40%K -16.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 00:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 70.11%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.89%0.5%2026-08-07 01:55
BetOpenly1.39I 71.94%NM 71.46%3.48I 28.74%NM 28.54%0.7%2026-08-07 02:45
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-08-06 22:30
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-08-07 01:15
ProphetX1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-08-07 02:35
Matchbook1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%4.2%2026-08-07 02:50
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%8.2%2026-08-06 23:55