Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.68
assuming max odds 2.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 59.74%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 40.26%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.653%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV +0.653%E +0.261%K +0.435%G +0.003% | 1.7% | 2026-08-19 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%EV +0.250%E +0.101%K +0.168%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-19 20:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.82%E -2.37%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.152%E -0.061%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-19 20:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%EV -2.03%E -1.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%EV -0.555%E -0.225%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-19 19:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.82%E -2.37%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -0.555%E -0.225%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-19 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.82%E -2.37%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -0.555%E -0.225%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-19 20:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.63%E -1.61%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.957%E -0.389%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-19 16:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-19 13:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.82%E -2.37%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-19 20:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.03%E -1.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.76%E -0.722%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-19 20:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.03%E -1.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.17%E -0.891%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-19 13:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -2.17%E -0.891%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.57%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-19 19:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-19 15:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.02%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.02%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 19:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.40%E -4.78%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 13:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.61%E -3.55%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -3.78%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 16:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.82%E -2.37%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 19:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 18:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.02%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.58%E -1.93%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 15:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.98%E -2.11%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.63%E -1.61%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-19 13:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-19 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-19 14:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-19 14:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.82%E -2.37%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.82%E -2.37%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 17:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 13:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 17:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.02%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-19 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.61%E -3.55%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 19:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.61%E -3.55%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 13:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 19:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.79%E -2.47%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 20:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.82%E -2.37%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.19%E -2.66%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 15:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.82%E -2.37%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.19%E -2.66%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 15:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.61%E -3.55%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 17:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.40%E -4.78%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 19:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.40%E -4.78%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 19:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.20%E -3.60%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 19:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV +0.361%E +0.215%K +0.531%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -11.43%E -5.19%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 19:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV +0.361%E +0.215%K +0.531%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -11.43%E -5.19%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV +0.361%E +0.215%K +0.531%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -11.43%E -5.19%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 19:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV +0.361%E +0.215%K +0.531%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -11.43%E -5.19%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 19:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV +0.361%E +0.215%K +0.531%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -11.43%E -5.19%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 19:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV +0.361%E +0.215%K +0.531%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -11.43%E -5.19%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 19:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV +0.361%E +0.215%K +0.531%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -11.43%E -5.19%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 19:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV +0.361%E +0.215%K +0.531%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -11.43%E -5.19%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 19:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV +0.361%E +0.215%K +0.531%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -11.43%E -5.19%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 19:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV +0.361%E +0.215%K +0.531%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -11.43%E -5.19%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 19:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV +0.361%E +0.215%K +0.531%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -11.43%E -5.19%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -0.834%E -0.502%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -12.63%E -5.82%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -0.834%E -0.502%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -12.63%E -5.82%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 19:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -14.65%E -6.91%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-19 19:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05% | -0.1% | 2026-08-19 20:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34% | 0.4% | 2026-08-19 19:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 20:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 20:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-08-19 19:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-08-19 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-08-19 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-08-19 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-08-19 20:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.9% | 2026-08-19 20:00 |