Language:English
Baltimore Orioles v Washington Nationals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Prediction 55.85%1.79fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.969%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.05%55.77%55.72%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.711.7660.61%58.45%58.48%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visit)
Prediction 44.15%2.26fair odd
EV -0.220%
Edge -0.097%
Kelly -0.174%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.23%44.28%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.162.172.2648.78%46.24%46.08%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 55.85%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 44.15%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.265. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.260, with an expected value of -0.220%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.71%E -0.969%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.43%E -1.10%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-26 12:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.71%E -0.969%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.43%E -1.10%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-26 22:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -1.71%E -0.969%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -3.31%E -1.51%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-26 22:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -1.71%E -0.969%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -8.61%E -4.16%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -1.71%E -0.969%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -8.61%E -4.16%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.26%E -1.29%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.10%E -0.492%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.26%E -1.29%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.26%E -1.29%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-26 19:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.26%E -1.29%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.17%E -3.93%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.82%E -1.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -0.220%E -0.097%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.82%E -1.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -1.54%E -0.692%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.82%E -1.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -1.54%E -0.692%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-26 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.82%E -1.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -1.54%E -0.692%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.82%E -1.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-26 21:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.82%E -1.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-26 06:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.82%E -1.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.52%E -2.58%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-26 19:58 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.82%E -1.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-26 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.94%E -2.29%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.75%E -1.72%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-26 21:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.94%E -2.29%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-26 22:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.94%E -2.29%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.40%E -3.02%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-26 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.50%E -2.63%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.87%E -1.30%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-26 19:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.50%E -2.63%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.87%E -1.30%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-26 15:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.50%E -2.63%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.87%E -1.30%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-26 00:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.50%E -2.63%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.75%E -1.72%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-26 21:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.50%E -2.63%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.75%E -1.72%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-26 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.50%E -2.63%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-26 09:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.50%E -2.63%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-26 22:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.50%E -2.63%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-26 06:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.50%E -2.63%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-26 06:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.50%E -2.63%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-26 06:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.50%E -2.63%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-26 09:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.50%E -2.63%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-26 22:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.50%E -2.63%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.52%E -2.58%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-26 21:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.06%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.87%E -1.30%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-26 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.06%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.87%E -1.30%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.06%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.75%E -1.72%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-26 21:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.06%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.75%E -1.72%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-26 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.06%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.75%E -1.72%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-26 21:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.06%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.75%E -1.72%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-26 21:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.06%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.75%E -1.72%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-26 21:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.06%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.75%E -1.72%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-26 21:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.06%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.75%E -1.72%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-26 21:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.06%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.75%E -1.72%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-26 21:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.06%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.75%E -1.72%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-26 21:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.06%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.75%E -1.72%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-26 19:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.06%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-25 21:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.06%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-26 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.06%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.06%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.06%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.49%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-26 22:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.61%E -3.32%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.75%E -1.72%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-26 22:58 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.61%E -3.32%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.17%E -3.67%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.19%E -1.93%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-26 21:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.17%E -3.67%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.19%E -1.93%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-26 21:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.17%E -3.67%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.19%E -1.93%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-26 21:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.17%E -3.67%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.19%E -1.93%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-26 21:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.17%E -3.67%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-26 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.17%E -3.67%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-26 15:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.73%E -4.03%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.87%E -1.30%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-26 20:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.73%E -4.03%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-26 20:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.29%E -4.39%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -5.52%E -2.58%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-26 21:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -7.29%E -4.39%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -7.73%E -3.70%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 22:38 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.85%E -4.76%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.87%E -1.30%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-26 07:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.72% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.28% | -0.4% | 2026-06-26 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-06-26 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-06-26 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53% | 0.7% | 2026-06-26 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-06-26 21:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-06-26 21:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-06-26 22:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-06-26 14:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-06-26 21:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 2.0% | 2026-06-26 22:50 |