Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles v Toronto Blue Jays

Kickoff: 2026-09-23 17:38 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 4–2 Toronto Blue Jays

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prediction 53.46%1.87fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.46%53.48%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.791.801.8359.17%55.95%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 46.54%2.15fair odd
EV -0.407%
Edge -0.190%
Kelly -0.357%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%46.54%46.52%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.042.022.1452.08%49.12%49.50%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 53.46%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 46.54%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.14, with an expected value of -0.407%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.17%E -1.18%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.27%E -1.08%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-23 17:35
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.17%E -1.18%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.27%E -1.08%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-23 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.17%E -1.18%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.73%E -1.31%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-23 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.17%E -1.18%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.73%E -1.31%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-23 17:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.17%E -1.18%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-23 17:34
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.17%E -1.18%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 17:35
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.70%E -1.48%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -0.872%E -0.409%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-23 16:20
Everygame🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.70%E -1.48%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.34%E -0.631%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-23 15:06
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.70%E -1.48%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 17:10
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.70%E -1.48%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.70%E -1.48%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.70%E -1.48%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.70%E -1.48%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 17:10
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.70%E -1.48%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.70%E -1.48%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 17:10
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.70%E -1.48%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.70%E -1.48%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 17:10
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -3.24%E -1.79%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.407%E -0.190%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-23 17:35
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -3.24%E -1.79%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -2.27%E -1.08%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-23 17:20
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.24%E -1.79%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-23 17:10
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.66%E -1.77%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-23 03:38
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 17:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-22 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 17:10
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 17:10
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-23 17:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-23 17:10
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-23 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-23 17:10
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-23 17:35
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-23 17:30
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-23 17:35
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-23 17:10
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.25%E -4.74%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-23 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.30%E -2.40%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.53%E -2.72%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-23 17:10
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.30%E -2.40%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 17:30
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.30%E -2.40%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.84%E -2.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.20%E -1.54%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 17:35
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.84%E -2.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 17:33
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.84%E -2.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 17:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.84%E -2.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.85%E -3.97%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-23 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.84%E -2.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.85%E -3.97%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-23 17:10
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.37%E -3.04%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.27%E -1.08%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-23 06:20
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.37%E -3.04%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.20%E -1.54%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 17:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.37%E -3.04%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-23 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.91%E -3.36%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 16:13
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.91%E -3.36%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-23 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.91%E -3.36%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-23 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -5.91%E -3.36%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -9.25%E -4.74%K -9.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-23 17:35
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.44%E -3.68%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-22 23:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.44%E -3.68%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-22 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.44%E -3.68%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-22 23:00
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.44%E -3.68%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-23 17:35
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -6.44%E -3.68%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -5.53%E -2.72%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-23 17:35
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.44%E -3.68%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-23 17:25
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.44%E -3.68%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-23 17:23
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.98%E -4.01%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-23 17:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.98%E -4.01%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-23 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -6.98%E -4.01%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.85%E -3.97%K -8.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-23 17:10
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.51%E -4.34%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.27%E -1.08%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 16:54
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.51%E -4.34%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-23 17:10
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.05%E -4.68%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-23 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.19%EV -9.65%E -5.71%K -13.99%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.81%EV -10.65%E -5.54%K -11.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-23 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.35%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.65%-0.3%2026-09-23 17:30
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-09-23 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-09-23 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-09-23 17:35
Novig◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-09-23 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-09-23 17:35
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-23 17:35
Matchbook◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-09-23 17:35
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-09-23 17:35
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-09-23 17:30