The School of Odds
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Baltimore Orioles v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-09-22 22:36 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prediction 52.33%1.91fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%52.40%52.30%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.811.801.8758.48%55.19%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 47.67%2.10fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.641%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.60%47.70%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.992.002.0753.48%50.17%50.00%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 52.33%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 47.67%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.07, with an expected value of -1.33%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.14%E -1.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.28%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-21 18:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.14%E -1.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-21 17:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.14%E -1.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-21 17:59
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.66%E -1.43%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.33%E -0.641%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-21 17:28
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.71%E -1.84%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-21 16:44
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.19%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-21 17:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-21 16:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-21 16:49
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-21 18:09
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-21 18:44
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.62%E -2.84%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-21 18:09
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.05%E -3.61%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-21 16:44
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.76%E -2.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.71%E -1.84%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-21 16:49
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.28%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 16:53
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 16:44
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 16:48
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 16:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 16:49
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 16:53
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 16:53
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 18:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.62%E -2.84%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-21 16:49
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.62%E -2.84%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-21 18:30
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.05%E -3.61%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-21 16:49
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.05%E -3.61%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-21 16:49
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.37%E -4.17%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.05%E -3.61%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-21 16:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -9.99%E -5.81%K -13.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -9.43%E -4.96%K -10.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-21 18:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.23%EV -10.51%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.77%EV -10.86%E -5.81%K -12.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-21 16:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-09-21 19:04
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-09-21 17:39
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%10.1%2026-09-21 16:49