Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.85
assuming max odds 2.11
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 53.04%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 46.96%. For San Francisco Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.11, with an expected value of -0.921%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.87%E -1.01%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.86%E -0.890%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-10 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -1.87%E -1.01%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.21%E -2.06%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-10 22:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.87%E -1.01%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.09%E -3.04%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 20:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.40%E -1.30%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.86%E -0.890%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.40%E -1.30%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.33%E -1.12%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.40%E -1.30%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.33%E -1.12%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.93%E -1.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -0.921%E -0.436%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-10 22:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.93%E -1.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.86%E -0.890%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-10 19:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.93%E -1.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.93%E -1.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.93%E -1.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.03%E -3.55%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 20:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.93%E -1.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.43%E -4.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.93%E -1.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 20:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.46%E -1.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 20:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.46%E -1.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 22:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.46%E -1.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.46%E -1.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 22:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.46%E -1.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.46%E -1.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 22:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.46%E -1.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 22:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.46%E -1.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 22:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.46%E -1.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 22:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.46%E -1.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.03%E -3.55%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.99%E -2.21%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.09%E -3.04%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.99%E -2.21%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.09%E -3.04%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.99%E -2.21%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.09%E -3.04%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.99%E -2.21%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.09%E -3.04%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 22:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -1.39%E -0.662%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-10 20:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -2.33%E -1.12%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-10 21:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.74%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.74%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.74%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 05:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.74%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 03:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.74%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 03:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.74%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 03:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.74%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 20:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.74%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 21:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.74%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 21:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 21:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 20:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.09%E -3.04%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 20:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.09%E -3.04%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 20:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.09%E -3.04%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 18:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.09%E -3.04%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 20:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.09%E -3.04%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 20:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.09%E -3.04%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 23:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-10 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.43%E -4.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 23:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -5.05%E -2.82%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.33%E -1.12%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-10 20:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.05%E -2.82%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.05%E -2.82%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 22:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.05%E -2.82%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 21:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.05%E -2.82%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 21:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.58%E -3.14%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.74%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 22:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.58%E -3.14%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.74%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 03:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.58%E -3.14%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.74%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 03:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -6.64%E -3.78%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -1.86%E -0.890%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 19:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.64%E -3.78%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.74%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.83%E -5.78%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.39%E -0.662%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 19:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-04-10 22:50 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 0.6% | 2026-04-10 23:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 0.9% | 2026-04-10 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 0.9% | 2026-04-10 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 0.9% | 2026-04-10 23:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 22:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 02:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70% | 2.0% | 2026-04-10 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94% | 2.4% | 2026-04-10 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64% | 3.3% | 2026-04-10 23:15 |