Language:English
Baltimore Orioles v New York Yankees
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Prediction 49.25%2.03fair odd
EV +0.968%
Edge +0.472%
Kelly +0.922%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%49.25%49.11%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.951.952.0555.56%51.21%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Yankees (Visit)
Prediction 50.75%1.97fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.535%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%50.75%50.89%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.861.871.9557.14%53.64%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 49.25%; New York Yankees (Visit): 50.75%. For Baltimore Orioles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.968%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +0.968%E +0.472%K +0.922%G +0.009% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -10.18%E -5.75%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -0.509%E -0.252%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-20 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.509%E -0.252%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.64%E -4.20%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-20 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.509%E -0.252%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.64%E -4.20%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-20 22:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.509%E -0.252%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.64%E -4.20%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-20 22:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.509%E -0.252%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.64%E -4.20%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-20 22:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.509%E -0.252%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.64%E -4.20%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-20 22:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.509%E -0.252%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.64%E -4.20%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-20 22:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.509%E -0.252%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.64%E -4.20%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-20 22:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.509%E -0.252%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.64%E -4.20%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-20 22:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.509%E -0.252%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.64%E -4.20%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-20 22:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.509%E -0.252%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.64%E -4.20%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-20 22:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -1.00%E -0.498%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-20 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.00%E -0.498%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.58%E -1.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-20 22:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.00%E -0.498%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.58%E -1.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-20 22:23 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.00%E -0.498%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.58%E -1.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-20 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.00%E -0.498%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.58%E -1.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-20 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -1.49%E -0.747%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-20 22:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.49%E -0.747%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-20 22:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.49%E -0.747%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-20 22:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.49%E -0.747%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -8.15%E -4.50%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 22:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -1.99%E -0.998%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -4.09%E -2.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-20 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-20 22:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -9.16%E -5.12%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-20 22:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -9.16%E -5.12%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-20 22:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.04%E -0.535%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-20 22:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.46%E -1.77%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.61%E -3.02%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-20 22:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.04%E -0.535%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-20 17:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-20 22:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-20 22:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-20 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-20 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 22:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 22:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.45%E -2.29%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-20 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.45%E -2.29%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-20 22:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-20 22:03 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.60%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-20 18:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 22:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 22:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -11.19%E -6.40%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-20 22:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.43%E -2.83%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-20 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.43%E -2.83%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.58%E -1.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 18:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.43%E -2.83%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.09%E -2.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-20 18:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 16:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.09%E -2.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 22:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-20 21:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-20 16:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-20 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-20 16:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 22:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 22:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.60%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-20 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-20 22:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 20:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-20 22:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-20 22:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-20 22:23 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-20 22:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.34%E -6.30%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.66%E -4.81%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-20 22:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.75% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.25% | 0.0% | 2026-08-20 22:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-20 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-20 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-08-20 22:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-20 22:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.24% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76% | 1.0% | 2026-08-20 22:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-08-20 22:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 1.4% | 2026-08-20 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.1% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90% | 2.3% | 2026-08-20 22:45 |