La escuela de los momios

Baltimore Orioles v New York Yankees

Inicio: 2026-05-13 17:06 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 7–0 New York Yankees

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Predicción 40.49%2.47momio equitativo
EV -0.794%
Ventaja -0.324%
Kelly -0.548%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.05%40.60%40.48%43.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.192.362.372.4545.66%42.38%42.19%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Predicción 59.51%1.68momio equitativo
EV -0.027%
Ventaja -0.016%
Kelly -0.039%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.59%59.40%59.52%60.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.591.581.6865.36%62.74%63.29%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 16:50
theScore Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -2.01%E -0.830%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-13 16:55
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 16:41
BetUS2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -3.00%E -1.84%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-13 17:05
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -1.22%E -0.733%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-13 17:04
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -2.41%E -1.47%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-13 17:04
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 17:05
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 16:50
MyBookie.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 14:50
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 14:50
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.38%E -3.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 14:45
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 17:04
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 14:50
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 17:04
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 17:04
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 17:00
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 17:00
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 17:00
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 14:50
FanDuel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 17:05
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 15:44
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 17:05
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 17:05
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 17:05
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 17:05
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 17:05
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 17:05
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 17:05
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -0.622%E -0.372%K -0.928%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 17:05
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -4.44%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -0.622%E -0.372%K -0.928%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 17:05
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -4.44%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -0.622%E -0.372%K -0.928%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 17:05
Bovada2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.44%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 17:04
SportsBet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.44%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 17:05
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -0.622%E -0.372%K -0.928%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-13 17:04
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.00%E -1.84%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 17:04
ReBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 17:03
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 17:05
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 17:04
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 14:50
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 16:50
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 17:05
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -5.65%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 17:05
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.65%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 17:05
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.65%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 17:05
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.65%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 17:05
Bally Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.65%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 17:05
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.06%E -2.61%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 17:04
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -6.06%E -2.61%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -8.36%E -5.43%K -15.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 17:05
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 17:05
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 17:04
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 17:04
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 17:04
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 15:10
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 16:55
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 16:55
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -8.36%E -5.43%K -15.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.16%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.84%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 17:05
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 17:05
Betsson2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -11.32%E -5.17%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -0.027%E -0.016%K -0.039%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 17:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%0.2%2026-05-13 17:04
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%0.4%2026-05-13 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-05-13 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-05-13 17:05
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-05-13 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%1.2%2026-05-13 16:55
ProphetX2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%1.6%2026-05-13 17:05
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%1.6%2026-05-13 17:05
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-05-13 17:05
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.3%2026-05-13 17:05