مدرسة الاحتمالات

Baltimore Orioles v New York Yankees

البداية: 2026-05-13 17:06 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Baltimore Orioles 7–0 New York Yankees

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (المضيف)

التنبؤ 40.49%2.47السعر العادل
EV -0.794%
الأفضلية -0.324%
Kelly -0.548%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.05%40.60%40.48%43.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.192.362.372.4545.66%42.38%42.19%40.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

New York Yankees (الضيف)

التنبؤ 59.51%1.68السعر العادل
EV -0.027%
الأفضلية -0.016%
Kelly -0.039%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.59%59.40%59.52%60.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.591.581.6865.36%62.74%63.29%59.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 16:50
theScore Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -2.01%E -0.830%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-13 16:55
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 16:41
BetUS2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -3.00%E -1.84%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-13 17:05
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -1.22%E -0.733%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-13 17:04
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -2.41%E -1.47%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-13 17:04
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 17:05
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 16:50
MyBookie.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 14:50
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 14:50
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.38%E -3.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 14:45
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 17:04
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 14:50
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 17:04
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 17:04
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 17:00
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 17:00
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 17:00
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 14:50
FanDuel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 17:05
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 15:44
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 17:05
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 17:05
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 17:05
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 17:05
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 17:05
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 17:05
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 17:05
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -0.622%E -0.372%K -0.928%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 17:05
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -4.44%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -0.622%E -0.372%K -0.928%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 17:05
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -4.44%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -0.622%E -0.372%K -0.928%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 17:05
Bovada2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.44%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 17:04
SportsBet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.44%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 17:05
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -0.622%E -0.372%K -0.928%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-13 17:04
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.00%E -1.84%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 17:04
ReBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 17:03
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 17:05
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 17:04
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 14:50
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 16:50
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 17:05
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -5.65%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 17:05
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.65%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 17:05
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.65%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 17:05
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.65%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 17:05
Bally Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.65%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 17:05
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.06%E -2.61%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 17:04
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -6.06%E -2.61%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -8.36%E -5.43%K -15.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 17:05
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 17:05
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 17:04
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 17:04
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 17:04
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 15:10
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 16:55
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 16:55
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -8.36%E -5.43%K -15.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.16%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.84%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 17:05
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 17:05
Betsson2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -11.32%E -5.17%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -0.027%E -0.016%K -0.039%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 17:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%0.2%2026-05-13 17:04
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%0.4%2026-05-13 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-05-13 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-05-13 17:05
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-05-13 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%1.2%2026-05-13 16:55
ProphetX2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%1.6%2026-05-13 17:05
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%1.6%2026-05-13 17:05
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-05-13 17:05
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.3%2026-05-13 17:05