Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-03-28 20:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Previsão 58.92%1.70odd justa
EV -1.01%
Vantagem -0.600%
Kelly -1.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%58.82%58.96%59.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.631.621.6864.52%61.27%61.73%59.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 41.08%2.43odd justa
EV -0.597%
Vantagem -0.247%
Kelly -0.420%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.45%41.18%41.04%43.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.302.302.4245.45%43.42%43.48%41.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 58.92%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 41.08%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.43. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.42, com valor esperado de -0.597%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.01%E -0.600%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.01%E -0.600%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.01%E -0.600%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.01%E -0.600%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 23:35
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.60%E -0.956%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.65%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-27 21:25
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.60%E -0.956%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.40%E -3.77%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:35
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.60%E -0.956%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.40%E -3.77%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.60%E -0.956%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.40%E -3.77%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:35
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.60%E -0.956%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.40%E -3.77%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.60%E -0.956%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.40%E -3.77%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:35
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.60%E -0.956%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.40%E -3.77%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:35
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.60%E -0.956%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.40%E -3.77%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:35
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.60%E -0.956%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:35
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.60%E -0.956%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:35
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.19%E -1.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.65%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 00:15
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.77%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -0.597%E -0.247%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-27 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.77%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.42%E -0.591%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 16:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.77%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.42%E -0.591%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 16:59
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.77%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.24%E -0.941%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-27 19:15
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.77%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-27 21:25
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.77%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-28 01:30
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.77%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 02:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.95%E -2.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 18:25
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.95%E -2.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.88%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:25
Bovada🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.95%E -2.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.29%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 00:24
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.95%E -2.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 20:25
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.95%E -2.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.76%E -2.98%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 00:00
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.95%E -2.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.76%E -2.98%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 00:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.06%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 00:30
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 18:33
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:10
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:10
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.29%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:40
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.70%E -2.03%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 18:35
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 18:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 18:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 18:35
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 18:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 00:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 21:05
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.65%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:10
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.65%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:15
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 18:24
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 21:40
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 21:40
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 21:40
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.72%E -3.58%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 18:25
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.72%E -3.58%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 21:38
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.72%E -3.58%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 21:40
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.72%E -3.58%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -6.35%E -2.78%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 23:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.08%E -5.18%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 21:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.67%E -5.59%K -15.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-28 02:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.67%E -5.59%K -15.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-28 02:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-03-28 03:10
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-27 21:40
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-03-27 22:05
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-03-28 00:05
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%2.1%2026-03-28 00:00
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-03-28 02:00
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%7.9%2026-03-28 03:10