La escuela de los momios

Baltimore Orioles v Minnesota Twins

Inicio: 2026-03-28 20:05 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Predicción 58.92%1.70momio equitativo
EV -1.01%
Ventaja -0.600%
Kelly -1.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.82%58.96%59.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.631.621.6864.52%61.27%61.73%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Predicción 41.08%2.43momio equitativo
EV -0.597%
Ventaja -0.247%
Kelly -0.420%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.45%41.18%41.04%43.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.302.302.4245.45%43.42%43.48%41.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.01%E -0.600%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.01%E -0.600%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 23:35
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.01%E -0.600%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.01%E -0.600%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 23:35
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.60%E -0.956%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.65%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-27 21:25
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.60%E -0.956%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.40%E -3.77%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:35
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.60%E -0.956%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.40%E -3.77%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.60%E -0.956%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.40%E -3.77%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:35
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.60%E -0.956%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.40%E -3.77%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.60%E -0.956%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.40%E -3.77%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:35
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.60%E -0.956%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.40%E -3.77%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:35
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.60%E -0.956%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.40%E -3.77%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:35
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.60%E -0.956%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:35
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.60%E -0.956%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:35
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.19%E -1.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.65%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 00:15
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.77%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -0.597%E -0.247%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-27 18:55
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.77%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.42%E -0.591%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 16:59
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.77%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.42%E -0.591%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 16:59
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.77%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.24%E -0.941%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-27 19:15
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.77%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-27 21:25
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.77%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-28 01:30
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.77%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 02:25
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.95%E -2.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 18:25
FanDuel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.95%E -2.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.88%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:25
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.95%E -2.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.29%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 00:24
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.95%E -2.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 20:25
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.95%E -2.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.76%E -2.98%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 00:00
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.95%E -2.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.76%E -2.98%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 00:00
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.06%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 00:30
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 18:33
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:10
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:10
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:10
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:34
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.29%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:40
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.70%E -2.03%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 18:35
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 18:34
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 18:35
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 18:34
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 18:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 18:55
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 00:00
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 21:05
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.65%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:10
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.65%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:15
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 18:30
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 18:24
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 21:40
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 21:40
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 21:40
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.72%E -3.58%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 18:25
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.72%E -3.58%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 21:38
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.72%E -3.58%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 21:40
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.72%E -3.58%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -6.35%E -2.78%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 23:24
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.08%E -5.18%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 21:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.67%E -5.59%K -15.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-28 02:10
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.67%E -5.59%K -15.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-28 02:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-03-28 03:10
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-27 21:40
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-03-27 22:05
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-03-28 00:05
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%2.1%2026-03-28 00:00
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-03-28 02:00
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%7.9%2026-03-28 03:10