Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles v Milwaukee Brewers

Kickoff: 2026-09-20 23:21 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 0–3 Milwaukee Brewers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prediction 34.76%2.88fair odd
EV +0.816%
Edge +0.281%
Kelly +0.429%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.94%34.78%34.83%36.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.772.762.9040.00%36.12%36.23%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)

Prediction 65.24%1.53fair odd
EV -0.841%
Edge -0.553%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.59%65.22%65.17%67.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.451.451.5272.46%68.75%68.97%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 34.76%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 65.24%. For Baltimore Orioles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.88. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.816%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.816%E +0.281%K +0.429%G +0.004%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 23:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.816%E +0.281%K +0.429%G +0.004%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 23:14
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.816%E +0.281%K +0.429%G +0.004%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 23:14
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.816%E +0.281%K +0.429%G +0.004%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 23:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.816%E +0.281%K +0.429%G +0.004%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 23:14
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.816%E +0.281%K +0.429%G +0.004%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 23:14
Bally Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.816%E +0.281%K +0.429%G +0.004%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 23:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.816%E +0.281%K +0.429%G +0.004%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 23:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.816%E +0.281%K +0.429%G +0.004%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 23:14
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.816%E +0.281%K +0.429%G +0.004%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 23:14
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +0.120%E +0.042%K +0.064%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.36%E -5.19%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 23:14
GTbets🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -0.923%E -0.324%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.80%E -1.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-20 20:54
BetAnything🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -0.923%E -0.324%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.10%E -2.79%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-20 23:09
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.923%E -0.324%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.06%E -4.21%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 23:09
Fliff🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.923%E -0.324%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 23:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -0.923%E -0.324%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -8.02%E -5.69%K -19.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 23:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -0.923%E -0.324%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -8.02%E -5.69%K -19.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 23:14
Dabble (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -0.923%E -0.324%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.67%E -6.19%K -21.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 23:19
Pinnacle🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -1.27%E -0.447%K -0.690%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -2.15%E -1.43%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-20 23:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -1.27%E -0.447%K -0.690%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.80%E -1.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-20 20:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -1.27%E -0.447%K -0.690%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.80%E -1.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-20 20:59
Everygame🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.66%E -0.950%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.80%E -1.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-20 05:37
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.66%E -0.950%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 23:05
Caesars🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.66%E -0.950%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 23:18
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.66%E -0.950%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.06%E -4.21%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 23:03
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.66%E -0.950%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.06%E -4.21%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 23:04
BetUS🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -3.36%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -2.80%E -1.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-20 20:54
Coolbet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.36%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 23:19
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%EV -3.70%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%EV -0.841%E -0.553%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-20 03:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -3.70%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -4.10%E -2.79%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 23:09
DraftKings🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -3.70%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.76%E -3.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 23:19
FanDuel🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.45%E -2.33%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-20 15:29
SportsBet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 15:34
ReBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.45%E -2.33%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 23:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.45%E -2.33%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 07:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.45%E -2.33%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 05:04
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.10%E -2.79%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 20:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.10%E -2.79%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 23:19
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.10%E -2.79%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 23:19
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.76%E -3.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 23:19
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 23:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 23:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 23:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 23:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 23:14
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.06%E -4.21%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 20:54
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -9.97%E -7.23%K -26.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 23:14
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.15%E -1.43%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-20 23:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.76%E -3.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 23:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 06:39
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.88%E -2.97%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.45%E -2.33%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 23:19
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.88%E -2.97%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.45%E -2.33%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.88%E -2.97%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.45%E -2.33%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 23:05
Betway🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.88%E -2.97%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.45%E -2.33%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 23:19
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.88%E -2.97%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.45%E -2.33%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 23:19
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.88%E -2.97%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.45%E -2.33%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 23:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.88%E -2.97%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 23:19
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -8.92%E -3.40%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.15%E -1.43%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 20:24
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.92%E -3.40%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.06%E -4.21%K -13.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 20:54
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.61%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 23:08
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.61%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 23:08
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -9.61%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 23:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -13.09%E -5.24%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94%EV -8.02%E -5.69%K -19.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 23:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.95I 33.90%NM 33.86%1.51I 66.23%NM 66.14%0.1%2026-09-20 23:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%0.2%2026-09-20 23:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%0.2%2026-09-20 23:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%0.2%2026-09-20 23:19
ProphetX◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%0.7%2026-09-20 23:19
Polymarket◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-09-20 23:20
Matchbook◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67%1.4%2026-09-20 23:19
Smarkets◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%1.8%2026-09-20 23:19
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-09-20 23:14