La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Baltimore Orioles v Kansas City Royals
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Predicción 58.46%1.71momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -2.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.42%58.51%59.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.641.641.6862.50%61.04%60.98%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Kansas City Royals (Visitante)
Predicción 41.54%2.41momio equitativo
EV +0.526%
Ventaja +0.217%
Kelly +0.370%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.25%41.58%41.49%43.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.182.302.282.4245.87%43.57%43.86%41.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV +0.526%E +0.217%K +0.370%G +0.002% | 1.9% | 2026-07-10 22:29 |
| GTbets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV +0.111%E +0.046%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -0.305%E -0.127%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-10 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -0.720%E -0.301%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -0.720%E -0.301%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -0.720%E -0.301%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-10 21:40 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -0.720%E -0.301%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| 1xBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -1.14%E -0.477%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-10 21:33 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.14%E -0.477%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -1.55%E -0.654%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -1.55%E -0.654%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-10 22:20 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 21:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 21:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.63%E -1.56%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-10 21:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.63%E -1.56%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 21:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.63%E -1.56%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -4.04%E -1.75%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 21:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-09 17:54 |
| ReBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-10 21:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 20:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 19:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-10 21:55 |
| Fliff | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 04:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.87%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 21:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 21:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 20:00 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 19:59 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 20:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 19:59 |
| betPARX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 20:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-10 20:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-10 20:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-10 20:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-10 20:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.70%E -2.51%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 21:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.70%E -2.51%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 21:24 |
| TAB | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.79%E -1.06%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-10 12:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 05:00 |
| 888sport | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 01:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 01:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 01:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 21:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 21:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 21:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 01:14 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 22:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-10 20:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-10 23:02 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -6.95%E -3.10%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-10 19:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 21:50 |
| Betsson | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.96%E -1.78%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.78%E -3.51%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 12:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.96%E -1.78%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.78%E -3.51%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 12:50 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-10 21:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.44%E -4.33%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-10 22:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| Polymarket | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-07-10 21:30 |
| ProphetX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.2% | 2026-07-10 22:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-07-10 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-07-10 22:10 |
| BetOpenly | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54% | 2.4% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Smarkets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 3.4% | 2026-07-10 23:05 |