مدرسة الاحتمالات

Baltimore Orioles v Kansas City Royals

البداية: 2026-07-10 23:06 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Baltimore Orioles 5–3 Kansas City Royals

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.46%1.71السعر العادل
EV -1.79%
الأفضلية -1.06%
Kelly -2.63%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.85%58.42%58.51%59.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.601.641.641.6862.50%61.04%60.98%59.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Kansas City Royals (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.54%2.41السعر العادل
EV +0.526%
الأفضلية +0.217%
Kelly +0.370%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.42

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.25%41.58%41.49%43.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.182.302.282.4245.87%43.57%43.86%41.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV +0.526%E +0.217%K +0.370%G +0.002%1.9%2026-07-10 22:29
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV +0.111%E +0.046%K +0.078%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 23:00
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -0.305%E -0.127%K -0.218%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-10 22:00
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -0.720%E -0.301%K -0.518%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 23:00
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -0.720%E -0.301%K -0.518%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 22:59
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -0.720%E -0.301%K -0.518%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 21:40
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -0.720%E -0.301%K -0.518%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 23:04
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -1.14%E -0.477%K -0.823%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-10 21:33
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.14%E -0.477%K -0.823%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 23:04
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -1.55%E -0.654%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -1.55%E -0.654%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 23:04
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-10 22:20
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 21:05
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 21:55
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 23:04
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.63%E -1.56%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-10 21:50
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.63%E -1.56%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 21:00
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.63%E -1.56%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 23:04
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -4.04%E -1.75%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 21:44
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-09 17:54
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-10 21:30
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 20:00
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 23:04
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 23:04
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 21:55
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 23:04
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 23:05
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 04:59
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.87%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 21:00
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 20:00
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 19:59
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 20:00
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 19:59
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 20:00
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 20:00
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 20:00
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 20:00
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.70%E -2.51%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 21:09
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.70%E -2.51%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 21:24
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.79%E -1.06%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 05:00
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 01:14
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 01:15
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 01:14
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 21:09
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 21:05
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:54
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 21:25
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 01:14
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:55
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 20:40
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.54%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 23:02
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -6.95%E -3.10%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 19:35
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 21:50
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.96%E -1.78%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.78%E -3.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 12:50
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.96%E -1.78%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.78%E -3.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 12:50
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 17:20
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 21:25
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.44%E -4.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-10 22:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-10 22:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-07-10 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-07-10 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-07-10 23:04
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-10 21:30
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-07-10 22:55
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-07-10 23:05
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-07-10 22:10
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%2.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%3.4%2026-07-10 23:05