L’École des cotes

Baltimore Orioles v Chicago White Sox

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-01 16:36 UTC

Score final : Baltimore Orioles 6–1 Chicago White Sox

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prévision 57.79%1.73cote équitable
EV -0.599%
Avantage -0.348%
Kelly -0.832%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.99%57.69%57.69%58.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.661.661.7262.50%60.36%60.24%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago White Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.21%2.37cote équitable
EV +0.034%
Avantage +0.014%
Kelly +0.025%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.33%42.31%42.31%44.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.262.252.3747.62%44.20%44.44%42.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV +0.034%E +0.014%K +0.025%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-01 16:10
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.810%E -0.345%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-01 16:30
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.810%E -0.345%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-01 16:30
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.810%E -0.345%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-01 16:30
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.91%E -1.73%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.23%E -0.527%K -0.919%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 16:30
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.23%E -0.527%K -0.919%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 16:10
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.91%E -1.73%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.08%E -0.895%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 16:30
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.91%E -1.73%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-01 16:20
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-01 15:30
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-01 16:10
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 15:30
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 15:30
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 15:30
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 15:25
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 16:30
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 16:10
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.07%E -2.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.34%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 15:30
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.34%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 15:30
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -0.599%E -0.348%K -0.832%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -3.76%E -1.65%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-01 15:20
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -3.76%E -1.65%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -3.76%E -1.65%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 16:20
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.19%E -1.84%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 15:30
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.61%E -2.04%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 15:40
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.33%E -1.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 15:20
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.91%E -1.73%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 15:30
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 15:20
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 15:30
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 15:39
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 15:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 15:40
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.07%E -2.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.07%E -2.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:20
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.07%E -2.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:20
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.07%E -2.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:20
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.07%E -2.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:20
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.07%E -2.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:20
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:40
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:30
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:30
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:30
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 15:30
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 15:40
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.80%E -3.56%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:30
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 15:29
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 15:30
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.07%E -2.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.30%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 15:30
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.07%E -2.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.30%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 15:29
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.72%E -3.04%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:20
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 15:30
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 15:30
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 16:20
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -6.96%E -4.32%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -7.56%E -3.45%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 16:10
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.33%E -1.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 16:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.36%E -5.41%K -10.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-01 16:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-07-01 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-07-01 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-07-01 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-07-01 16:30
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-07-01 16:30
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.0%2026-07-01 16:30
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-01 15:20
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-07-01 16:20
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-07-01 16:30