La escuela de los momios

Baltimore Orioles v Chicago White Sox

Inicio: 2026-07-01 16:36 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 6–1 Chicago White Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Predicción 57.79%1.73momio equitativo
EV -0.599%
Ventaja -0.348%
Kelly -0.832%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.99%57.69%57.69%58.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.661.661.7262.50%60.36%60.24%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 42.21%2.37momio equitativo
EV +0.034%
Ventaja +0.014%
Kelly +0.025%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%42.31%42.31%44.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.262.252.3747.62%44.20%44.44%42.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV +0.034%E +0.014%K +0.025%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-01 16:10
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.810%E -0.345%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-01 16:30
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.810%E -0.345%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-01 16:30
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.810%E -0.345%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-01 16:30
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.91%E -1.73%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.23%E -0.527%K -0.919%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 16:30
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.23%E -0.527%K -0.919%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 16:10
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.91%E -1.73%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.08%E -0.895%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 16:30
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.91%E -1.73%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-01 16:20
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-01 15:30
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-01 16:10
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 15:30
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 15:30
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 15:30
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 15:25
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 16:30
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 16:10
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.07%E -2.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.34%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 15:30
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.34%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 15:30
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -0.599%E -0.348%K -0.832%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -3.76%E -1.65%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-01 15:20
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -3.76%E -1.65%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -3.76%E -1.65%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 16:20
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.19%E -1.84%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 15:30
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.61%E -2.04%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 15:40
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.33%E -1.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 15:20
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.91%E -1.73%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 15:30
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 15:20
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 15:30
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 15:39
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 15:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 15:40
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.07%E -2.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.07%E -2.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:20
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.07%E -2.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:20
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.07%E -2.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:20
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.07%E -2.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:20
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.07%E -2.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:20
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:40
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:30
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:30
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:30
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 15:30
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 15:40
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.80%E -3.56%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:30
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 15:29
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 15:30
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.07%E -2.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.30%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 15:30
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.07%E -2.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.30%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 15:29
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.49%E -2.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.72%E -3.04%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:20
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 15:30
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 15:30
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 16:20
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -6.96%E -4.32%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -7.56%E -3.45%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 16:10
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.33%E -1.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 16:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.36%E -5.41%K -10.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-01 16:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-07-01 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-07-01 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-07-01 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-07-01 16:30
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-07-01 16:30
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.0%2026-07-01 16:30
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-01 15:20
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-07-01 16:20
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-07-01 16:30