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Baltimore Orioles v Chicago Cubs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
assuming max odds 41.00
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 3.13%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 96.88%. For Baltimore Orioles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 32.00. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 41.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +28.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +28.13%E +0.686%K +0.703%G +0.198% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -3.13%E -3.13%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-09 01:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV -3.13%E -0.101%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -3.13%E -3.13%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-09 01:31 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-07-09 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-07-09 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-07-09 01:35 |