Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Baltimore Orioles v Boston Red Sox

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 23:06 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prévision 46.43%2.15cote équitable
EV +0.749%
Avantage +0.345%
Kelly +0.640%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 2.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.04%46.34%46.52%47.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.982.062.052.1750.51%48.45%48.78%46.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Boston Red Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.57%1.87cote équitable
EV -0.892%
Avantage -0.482%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%53.66%53.48%55.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.681.771.771.8559.52%56.42%56.50%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Baltimore Orioles (Local) : 46.43% ; Boston Red Sox (Visiteur) : 53.57%. Pour Baltimore Orioles (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.15. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.17, soit une espérance positive de +0.749%.

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV +0.749%E +0.345%K +0.640%G +0.005%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -8.39%E -4.91%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:04
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV +0.285%E +0.132%K +0.246%G +0.001%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -8.93%E -5.25%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -0.179%E -0.083%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -5.18%E -2.93%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -1.11%E -0.520%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Everygame🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.57%E -0.742%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.50%E -1.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-05 23:04
GTbets🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.04%E -0.965%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -1.43%E -0.776%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-05 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-05 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-05 23:03
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.18%E -2.93%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.18%E -2.93%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-05 23:04
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:04
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.39%E -4.91%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.96%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.892%E -0.482%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-05 22:58
BetAnything🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -2.96%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -3.04%E -1.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-05 23:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.43%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.89%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-05 23:04
Bovada🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.11%E -2.29%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-05 23:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:05
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:05
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.11%E -2.29%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:04
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.18%E -2.93%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:04
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.18%E -2.93%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:04
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.79%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.75%E -2.83%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.75%E -2.83%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:04
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.11%E -2.29%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:04
ReBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-05 23:04
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.00%E -5.95%K -14.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:03
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.18%E -2.93%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:04
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-05 23:03
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.79%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-05 23:05
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -8.07%E -4.08%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -8.07%E -4.08%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -6.79%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-05 23:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%0.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%0.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%1.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-09-05 23:05
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%4.0%2026-09-05 23:04