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Baltimore Orioles v Boston Red Sox
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Predicción 46.43%2.15momio equitativo
EV +0.749%
Ventaja +0.345%
Kelly +0.640%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.04%46.34%46.52%47.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.982.062.052.1750.51%48.45%48.78%46.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Boston Red Sox (Visitante)
Predicción 53.57%1.87momio equitativo
EV -0.892%
Ventaja -0.482%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%53.66%53.48%55.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.681.771.771.8559.52%56.42%56.50%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 46.43%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 53.57%. Para Baltimore Orioles (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.15. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.17, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.749%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV +0.749%E +0.345%K +0.640%G +0.005% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -8.39%E -4.91%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV +0.285%E +0.132%K +0.246%G +0.001% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -8.93%E -5.25%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -0.179%E -0.083%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -5.18%E -2.93%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -1.11%E -0.520%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.57%E -0.742%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.50%E -1.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.04%E -0.965%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -1.43%E -0.776%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-05 23:03 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.18%E -2.93%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.18%E -2.93%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.39%E -4.91%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.96%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.892%E -0.482%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-05 22:58 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -2.96%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -3.04%E -1.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.43%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.89%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.11%E -2.29%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.11%E -2.29%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.18%E -2.93%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.18%E -2.93%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.79%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.75%E -2.83%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.75%E -2.83%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.11%E -2.29%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.00%E -5.95%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-05 23:03 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.18%E -2.93%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-05 23:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.79%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -8.07%E -4.08%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -8.07%E -4.08%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -6.79%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-05 23:01 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98% | 0.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 0.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04% | 1.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 1.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27% | 4.0% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |