Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles v Atlanta Braves

Kickoff: 2026-07-25 23:06 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 3–2 Atlanta Braves

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prediction 50.98%1.96fair odd
EV -0.580%
Edge -0.297%
Kelly -0.610%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.99%51.05%52.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.871.871.9555.25%53.37%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Visit)

Prediction 49.02%2.04fair odd
EV +0.481%
Edge +0.235%
Kelly +0.458%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.70%49.01%48.95%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.941.942.0553.48%51.44%51.55%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 50.98%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 49.02%. For Atlanta Braves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.481%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Everygame🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.66%E -2.49%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.481%E +0.235%K +0.458%G +0.002%2.3%2026-07-25 23:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.13%E -1.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.48%E -0.736%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.13%E -1.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.48%E -0.736%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 23:04
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.13%E -1.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.48%E -0.736%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 23:05
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.13%E -1.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.48%E -0.736%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 23:00
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.11%E -1.10%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -1.97%E -0.985%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-25 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.68%E -3.07%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.97%E -0.985%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 23:04
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.68%E -3.07%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.97%E -0.985%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 23:04
BetAnything🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -3.64%E -1.93%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -2.46%E -1.24%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 23:04
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.09%E -0.562%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.95%E -1.49%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-25 22:20
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.68%E -3.07%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.95%E -1.49%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 23:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.15%E -2.21%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.44%E -1.75%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 23:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.15%E -2.21%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.44%E -1.75%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 23:04
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.68%E -3.07%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.44%E -1.75%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 23:04
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.62%E -1.37%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 22:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.62%E -1.37%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 22:44
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.64%E -1.93%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 22:49
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.68%E -3.07%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.68%E -3.07%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 23:04
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.13%E -1.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.42%E -2.27%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 03:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.66%E -2.49%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.42%E -2.27%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 10:55
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.66%E -2.49%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.42%E -2.27%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 22:59
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.66%E -2.49%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.42%E -2.27%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 23:04
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.66%E -2.49%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.42%E -2.27%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.66%E -2.49%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.42%E -2.27%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 05:20
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.66%E -2.49%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.42%E -2.27%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 23:04
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.70%E -3.66%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.42%E -2.27%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.15%E -2.21%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.91%E -2.53%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.15%E -2.21%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.91%E -2.53%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 22:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.15%E -2.21%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.91%E -2.53%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 22:45
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.17%E -2.78%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.91%E -2.53%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 22:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.17%E -2.78%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.91%E -2.53%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.17%E -2.78%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.91%E -2.53%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.19%E -3.36%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.53%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 23:03
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.15%E -2.21%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.40%E -2.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.15%E -2.21%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.40%E -2.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 10:55
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.15%E -2.21%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.40%E -2.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 22:44
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.15%E -2.21%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.40%E -2.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.15%E -2.21%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.40%E -2.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 22:44
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.15%E -2.21%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.40%E -2.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 22:44
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.15%E -2.21%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.40%E -2.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 22:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.15%E -2.21%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.40%E -2.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 22:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.66%E -2.49%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.40%E -2.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 22:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.66%E -2.49%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.40%E -2.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 22:45
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.66%E -2.49%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.40%E -2.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 22:44
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.68%E -3.07%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.40%E -2.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 23:04
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.64%E -1.93%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.89%E -3.07%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 03:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.15%E -2.21%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.89%E -3.07%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 22:00
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.15%E -2.21%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.89%E -3.07%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 16:55
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.15%E -2.21%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.89%E -3.07%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.19%E -3.36%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.89%E -3.07%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 23:04
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.62%E -1.37%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.38%E -3.34%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 01:44
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.68%E -3.07%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.38%E -3.34%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 10:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.68%E -3.07%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.38%E -3.34%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.68%E -3.07%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.38%E -3.34%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 10:54
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.70%E -3.66%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.38%E -3.34%K -7.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.66%E -2.49%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.87%E -3.62%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 11:09
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.68%E -3.07%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.87%E -3.62%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 22:53
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.68%E -3.07%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.87%E -3.62%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 22:53
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.72%E -4.26%K -9.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.87%E -3.62%K -7.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 23:04
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -5.68%E -3.07%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -7.36%E -3.89%K -8.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 22:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -0.580%E -0.297%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -8.34%E -4.46%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 23:05
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.62%E -1.37%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.34%E -4.46%K -9.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 22:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-07-25 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-07-25 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-07-25 23:05
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-25 19:05
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-25 14:30
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-07-25 23:05
ProphetX1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-07-25 23:04
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.52%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.48%1.6%2026-07-25 22:59
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-07-25 23:05
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%2.3%2026-07-25 23:05

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