Language:English
Baltimore Orioles v Athletics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Prediction 54.39%1.84fair odd
EV +0.085%
Edge +0.046%
Kelly +0.102%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.18%54.51%54.26%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.751.731.8460.61%57.28%57.64%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Athletics (Visit)
Prediction 45.61%2.19fair odd
EV +0.333%
Edge +0.151%
Kelly +0.277%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%45.49%45.74%46.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.122.2050.00%47.25%47.17%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 54.39%; Athletics (Visit): 45.61%. For Athletics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.333%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.333%E +0.151%K +0.277%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 20:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.25%E -6.21%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.333%E +0.151%K +0.277%G +0.001% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 07:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.18%E -1.79%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.579%E -0.266%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-08 20:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.579%E -0.266%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-08 22:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -1.04%E -0.477%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-08 22:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.04%E -0.477%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 20:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.49%E -0.691%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 21:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.95%E -0.906%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.95%E -0.906%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.95%E -0.906%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.95%E -0.906%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 01:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.95%E -0.906%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 01:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.95%E -0.906%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 01:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.07%E -4.78%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.95%E -0.906%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 22:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.16%E -5.49%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.95%E -0.906%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 20:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.55%E -0.854%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -2.40%E -1.12%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-08 22:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.40%E -1.12%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 20:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.40%E -1.12%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 22:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.40%E -1.12%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 22:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.40%E -1.12%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 22:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.40%E -1.12%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 22:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.40%E -1.12%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 22:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.40%E -1.12%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.40%E -1.12%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 22:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.40%E -1.12%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 22:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.40%E -1.12%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.40%E -1.12%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 22:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.40%E -1.12%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 21:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.32%E -1.56%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 16:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.32%E -1.56%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 16:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.44%E -3.75%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.32%E -1.56%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.44%E -3.75%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.32%E -1.56%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.44%E -3.75%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.32%E -1.56%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 22:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.44%E -3.75%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.32%E -1.56%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 22:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.00%E -0.551%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.77%E -1.79%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.77%E -1.79%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 20:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.459%E -0.251%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 22:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 16:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 03:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 22:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV +0.085%E +0.046%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -4.68%E -2.24%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -0.459%E -0.251%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -4.68%E -2.24%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -0.459%E -0.251%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -4.68%E -2.24%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.68%E -2.24%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-08 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 22:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.60%E -2.70%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 22:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.60%E -2.70%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 22:33 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 23:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.79%E -4.39%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 22:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.79%E -4.39%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.84% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 45.16% | 0.2% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95% | 2.1% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18% | 2.5% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |