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Atlanta Braves v Washington Nationals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Braves (Local)
Prediction 63.08%1.59fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%63.10%63.01%64.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.511.5669.44%66.20%66.23%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visit)
Prediction 36.92%2.71fair odd
EV -0.304%
Edge -0.113%
Kelly -0.179%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.41%36.90%36.99%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.602.602.7040.82%38.53%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 63.08%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 36.92%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -0.304%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -1.60%E -1.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -2.52%E -0.954%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-22 20:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.23%E -1.44%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -2.15%E -0.811%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.23%E -1.44%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -2.52%E -0.954%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-22 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.23%E -1.44%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -2.52%E -0.954%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-22 22:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -2.23%E -1.44%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -3.26%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-22 22:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.23%E -1.44%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-22 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.23%E -1.44%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.86%E -1.86%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.15%E -0.811%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-22 20:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.86%E -1.86%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.15%E -0.811%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-22 20:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.49%E -2.28%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-22 20:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.49%E -2.28%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-22 20:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.49%E -2.28%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-22 20:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.49%E -2.28%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-22 20:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.49%E -2.28%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-22 20:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.49%E -2.28%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-22 20:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.49%E -2.28%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-22 20:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.49%E -2.28%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-22 20:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.49%E -2.28%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-22 20:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.49%E -2.28%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-22 20:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -4.13%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -3.63%E -1.39%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.13%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-22 20:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.13%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-22 21:18 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -4.13%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -4.37%E -1.69%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-22 22:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -4.13%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -4.37%E -1.69%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.13%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -2.52%E -0.954%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-22 22:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.26%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-22 20:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 20:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.10%E -1.99%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 20:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.10%E -1.99%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 20:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -5.47%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 20:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.15%E -0.811%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-22 22:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.26%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-22 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 20:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 21:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 20:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 20:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 20:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 20:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 23:08 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.53%E -3.89%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.02%E -4.04%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.02%E -4.04%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.02%E -4.04%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.02%E -4.04%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.02%E -4.04%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.65%E -4.49%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.304%E -0.113%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-22 22:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.65%E -4.49%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.28%E -4.95%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.15%E -0.811%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-22 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.28%E -4.95%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.15%E -0.811%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-22 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.28%E -4.95%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.15%E -0.811%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-22 22:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.28%E -4.95%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 20:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.17%E -6.37%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.26%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-22 22:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.66% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 36.34% | 0.1% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 0.3% | 2026-05-22 22:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-05-22 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-05-22 21:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-05-22 21:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-05-22 20:19 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-05-22 20:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 1.8% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39% | 3.9% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |