L’École des cotes

Atlanta Braves v Washington Nationals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 20:30 UTC

Score final : Atlanta Braves 1–2 Washington Nationals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prévision 58.57%1.71cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -0.956%
Kelly -2.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.22%58.59%58.50%60.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.621.621.6863.69%61.71%61.73%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.43%2.41cote équitable
EV +1.51%
Avantage +0.615%
Kelly +1.04%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.55%41.41%41.50%42.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.222.332.332.4545.05%42.98%42.92%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.71%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +1.51%E +0.615%K +1.04%G +0.016%2.9%2026-05-24 19:20
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -0.564%E -0.235%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 19:20
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -0.564%E -0.235%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 19:19
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.88%E -4.32%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.564%E -0.235%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 19:30
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.564%E -0.235%K -0.403%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:50
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.564%E -0.235%K -0.403%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:50
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.564%E -0.235%K -0.403%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.564%E -0.235%K -0.403%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:50
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.564%E -0.235%K -0.403%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:50
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.564%E -0.235%K -0.403%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:50
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.564%E -0.235%K -0.403%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:50
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.564%E -0.235%K -0.403%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:50
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -7.46%E -4.72%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -1.39%E -0.585%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 19:20
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -7.46%E -4.72%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -1.39%E -0.585%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 19:20
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.39%E -0.585%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 19:40
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.39%E -0.585%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 19:19
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.39%E -0.585%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 19:20
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.19%E -1.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.81%E -0.762%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-24 20:09
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -1.61%E -0.956%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -2.22%E -0.941%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-24 20:20
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.19%E -1.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.22%E -0.941%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-24 20:10
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.19%E -1.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.22%E -0.941%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-24 20:10
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.78%E -1.67%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -2.22%E -0.941%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-24 20:10
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.19%E -1.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.64%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 20:00
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.64%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 18:30
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.53%E -2.78%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.64%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 20:00
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.64%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 19:30
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.64%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 14:50
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.64%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 20:10
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.19%E -1.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-24 20:09
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 19:37
MyBookie.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.53%E -2.78%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.46%E -1.49%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 20:00
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.71%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.46%E -1.49%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 20:09
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 20:09
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 20:10
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 20:09
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.95%E -2.41%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 20:10
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.95%E -2.41%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 20:20
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 20:09
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 20:09
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 20:09
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 20:09
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 20:10
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 19:29
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.71%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 20:00
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 20:00
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.78%E -1.67%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.54%E -2.43%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 19:10
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 19:10
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 20:10
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 20:09
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 20:10
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 20:10
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 20:10
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 19:10
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 20:08
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 20:00
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.78%E -1.67%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -8.02%E -3.61%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 20:10
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.78%E -1.67%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -8.02%E -3.61%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 20:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%0.1%2026-05-24 20:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-24 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-24 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-24 20:10
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-05-24 20:20
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-05-24 20:10
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-24 19:00
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-24 20:10
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-05-24 20:13
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-05-24 19:50