La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Braves v Washington Nationals

Inicio: 2026-05-24 20:30 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 1–2 Washington Nationals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Predicción 58.57%1.71momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -0.956%
Kelly -2.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.22%58.59%58.50%60.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.621.621.6863.69%61.71%61.73%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Predicción 41.43%2.41momio equitativo
EV +1.51%
Ventaja +0.615%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.55%41.41%41.50%42.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.222.332.332.4545.05%42.98%42.92%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.71%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +1.51%E +0.615%K +1.04%G +0.016%2.9%2026-05-24 19:20
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -0.564%E -0.235%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 19:20
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -0.564%E -0.235%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 19:19
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.88%E -4.32%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.564%E -0.235%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 19:30
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.564%E -0.235%K -0.403%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:50
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.564%E -0.235%K -0.403%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:50
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.564%E -0.235%K -0.403%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.564%E -0.235%K -0.403%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:50
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.564%E -0.235%K -0.403%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:50
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.564%E -0.235%K -0.403%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:50
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.564%E -0.235%K -0.403%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:50
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.564%E -0.235%K -0.403%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:50
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -7.46%E -4.72%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -1.39%E -0.585%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 19:20
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -7.46%E -4.72%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -1.39%E -0.585%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 19:20
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.39%E -0.585%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 19:40
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.39%E -0.585%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 19:19
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.39%E -0.585%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 19:20
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.19%E -1.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.81%E -0.762%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-24 20:09
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -1.61%E -0.956%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -2.22%E -0.941%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-24 20:20
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.19%E -1.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.22%E -0.941%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-24 20:10
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.19%E -1.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.22%E -0.941%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-24 20:10
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.78%E -1.67%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -2.22%E -0.941%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-24 20:10
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.19%E -1.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.64%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 20:00
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.64%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 18:30
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.53%E -2.78%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.64%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 20:00
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.64%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 19:30
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.64%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 14:50
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.64%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 20:10
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.19%E -1.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-24 20:09
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 19:37
MyBookie.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.53%E -2.78%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.46%E -1.49%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 20:00
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.71%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.46%E -1.49%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 20:09
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 20:09
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 20:10
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 20:09
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.95%E -2.41%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 20:10
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.95%E -2.41%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 20:20
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 20:09
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 20:09
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 20:09
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 20:09
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 20:10
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 19:29
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.71%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 20:00
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 20:00
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.78%E -1.67%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.54%E -2.43%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 19:10
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 19:10
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 20:10
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 20:09
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 20:10
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 20:10
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 20:10
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 19:10
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 20:08
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 20:00
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.78%E -1.67%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -8.02%E -3.61%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 20:10
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.78%E -1.67%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -8.02%E -3.61%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 20:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%0.1%2026-05-24 20:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-24 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-24 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-24 20:10
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-05-24 20:20
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-05-24 20:10
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-24 19:00
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-24 20:10
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-05-24 20:13
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-05-24 19:50