L’École des cotes

Atlanta Braves v Texas Rangers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-17 23:16 UTC

Score final : Atlanta Braves 15–1 Texas Rangers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prévision 65.43%1.53cote équitable
EV -1.21%
Avantage -0.800%
Kelly -2.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.75%65.39%65.52%67.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.451.451.5172.46%68.89%68.97%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Texas Rangers (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.57%2.89cote équitable
EV -0.079%
Avantage -0.027%
Kelly -0.042%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.62%34.61%34.48%36.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.792.802.8939.22%35.89%35.71%34.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -1.21%E -0.800%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -2.85%E -1.01%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-17 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.86%E -1.24%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-17 01:34
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.52%E -1.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -1.12%E -0.390%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-17 23:14
BetAnything1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.52%E -1.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-17 20:29
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -0.079%E -0.027%K -0.042%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-17 23:14
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -0.079%E -0.027%K -0.042%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-17 23:14
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -1.46%E -0.513%K -0.791%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-17 23:14
Everygame1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -1.46%E -0.513%K -0.791%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-17 16:49
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -2.50%E -0.886%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-17 23:14
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 07:24
MyBookie.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 22:19
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 10:05
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-16 20:55
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 22:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 22:19
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 23:14
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-16 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-17 23:14
ReBet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-17 23:14
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 07:05
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 23:09
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.65%EV -4.48%E -3.07%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 23:14
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -4.48%E -3.07%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -3.88%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 23:09
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.48%E -3.07%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.96%E -2.19%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 14:49
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 22:19
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 22:59
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 14:24
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 22:22
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 22:20
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.88%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 11:20
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.88%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 22:34
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 23:14
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 14:35
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 22:19
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 14:34
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 14:34
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 22:59
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 23:13
Dabble (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 23:14
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 11:35
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.83%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 23:02
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.83%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 22:19
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 22:19
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -3.88%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 22:24
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -3.88%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 22:23
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 23:14
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 23:14
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.44%E -4.50%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 20:44
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.44%E -4.50%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 20:44
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.44%E -4.50%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 20:44
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.44%E -4.50%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 20:44
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.44%E -4.50%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 23:15
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.10%E -5.00%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.10%E -5.00%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:44
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.10%E -5.00%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:44
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.10%E -5.00%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:44
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.10%E -5.00%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:44
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.10%E -5.00%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:44
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -7.75%E -5.50%K -18.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 20:44
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -7.75%E -5.50%K -18.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 20:44
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -7.75%E -5.50%K -18.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 20:44
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.40%E -6.00%K -21.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 20:48
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.71%E -7.04%K -25.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -1.46%E -0.513%K -0.791%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 20:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.51I 66.23%NM 66.22%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.78%0.0%2026-07-17 23:14
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-07-17 23:04
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-17 23:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-17 23:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-17 23:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-17 23:14
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 66.89%2.99I 33.44%NM 33.11%1.0%2026-07-17 23:14
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-07-17 21:54
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-07-17 22:59
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18%1.8%2026-07-17 23:09