La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Braves v Texas Rangers

Inicio: 2026-07-17 23:16 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 15–1 Texas Rangers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Predicción 65.43%1.53momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.800%
Kelly -2.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.75%65.39%65.52%67.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.451.451.5172.46%68.89%68.97%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 34.57%2.89momio equitativo
EV -0.079%
Ventaja -0.027%
Kelly -0.042%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.62%34.61%34.48%36.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.792.802.8939.22%35.89%35.71%34.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -1.21%E -0.800%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -2.85%E -1.01%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-17 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.86%E -1.24%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-17 01:34
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.52%E -1.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -1.12%E -0.390%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-17 23:14
BetAnything1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.52%E -1.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-17 20:29
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -0.079%E -0.027%K -0.042%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-17 23:14
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -0.079%E -0.027%K -0.042%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-17 23:14
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -1.46%E -0.513%K -0.791%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-17 23:14
Everygame1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -1.46%E -0.513%K -0.791%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-17 16:49
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -2.50%E -0.886%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-17 23:14
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 07:24
MyBookie.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 22:19
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 10:05
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-16 20:55
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 22:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 22:19
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 23:14
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-16 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-17 23:14
ReBet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-17 23:14
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 07:05
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 23:09
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.65%EV -4.48%E -3.07%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 23:14
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -4.48%E -3.07%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -3.88%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 23:09
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.48%E -3.07%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.96%E -2.19%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 14:49
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 22:19
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 22:59
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 14:24
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 22:22
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 22:20
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.88%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 11:20
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.88%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 22:34
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 23:14
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 14:35
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 22:19
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 14:34
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 14:34
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 22:59
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 23:13
Dabble (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 23:14
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 11:35
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.83%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 23:02
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.83%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 22:19
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 22:19
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -3.88%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 22:24
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -3.88%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 22:23
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 23:14
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 23:14
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.44%E -4.50%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 20:44
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.44%E -4.50%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 20:44
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.44%E -4.50%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 20:44
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.44%E -4.50%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 20:44
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.44%E -4.50%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 23:15
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.10%E -5.00%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.10%E -5.00%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:44
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.10%E -5.00%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:44
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.10%E -5.00%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:44
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.10%E -5.00%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:44
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.10%E -5.00%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:44
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -7.75%E -5.50%K -18.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 20:44
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -7.75%E -5.50%K -18.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 20:44
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -7.75%E -5.50%K -18.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -0.425%E -0.148%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 20:44
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.40%E -6.00%K -21.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 20:48
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.71%E -7.04%K -25.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -1.46%E -0.513%K -0.791%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 20:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.51I 66.23%NM 66.22%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.78%0.0%2026-07-17 23:14
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-07-17 23:04
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-17 23:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-17 23:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-17 23:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-17 23:14
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 66.89%2.99I 33.44%NM 33.11%1.0%2026-07-17 23:14
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-07-17 21:54
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-07-17 22:59
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18%1.8%2026-07-17 23:09