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Atlanta Braves v Tampa Bay Rays

2026-09-10 16:15 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prediction 51.58%1.94fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.60%51.58%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.841.851.9056.18%54.31%54.20%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)

Prediction 48.42%2.07fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.40%48.42%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.971.962.0252.91%50.86%50.89%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atlanta Braves (Local): 51.58%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 48.42%. For Atlanta Braves (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.90, with an expected value of -1.99%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.99%E -1.05%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.01%E -4.22%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.20%E -1.09%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.20%E -1.09%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 17:35
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.54%E -1.89%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:35
betfred_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.54%E -1.89%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.54%E -1.89%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.54%E -1.89%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.05%E -2.18%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.65%E -1.84%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.05%E -2.18%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.14%E -2.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.57%E -2.47%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.62%E -2.35%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.57%E -2.47%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.62%E -2.35%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.57%E -2.47%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.11%E -2.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 17:35
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.57%E -2.47%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:40
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.08%E -2.76%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.14%E -2.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.08%E -2.76%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.11%E -2.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:35
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.17%E -1.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.14%E -2.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 17:33
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 17:33
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 17:33
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.17%E -1.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 17:35
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.17%E -1.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.17%E -1.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.17%E -1.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -8.18%E -4.59%K -10.49%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -8.01%E -4.22%K -8.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%EV -8.18%E -4.59%K -10.49%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%EV -8.50%E -4.49%K -9.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-09 17:35
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.1%2026-09-09 17:35
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%4.6%2026-09-09 17:40
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%10.0%2026-09-09 17:35