The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Atlanta Braves v San Francisco Giants

Kickoff: 2026-06-17 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prediction 53.56%1.87fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -4.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%53.56%53.68%54.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.761.751.8057.14%56.82%56.98%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Francisco Giants (Visit)

Prediction 46.44%2.15fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.60%46.44%46.32%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.042.052.1050.00%48.95%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 53.56%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 46.44%. For San Francisco Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -2.48%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.59%E -1.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 17:52
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.20%E -2.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 16:10
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.73%E -3.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.48%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.73%E -3.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 17:59
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.73%E -3.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 18:00
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 17:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 17:59
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-06-17 12:50
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-17 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 52.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 47.87%89.9%2026-06-17 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 52.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 47.87%89.9%2026-06-17 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 52.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 47.87%89.9%2026-06-17 17:40