L’École des cotes

Atlanta Braves v San Diego Padres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-20 23:16 UTC

Score final : Atlanta Braves 3–2 San Diego Padres

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prévision 54.90%1.82cote équitable
EV -0.077%
Avantage -0.042%
Kelly -0.094%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.25%55.03%54.89%56.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.741.731.8260.61%57.59%57.80%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Diego Padres (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.10%2.22cote équitable
EV -0.786%
Avantage -0.357%
Kelly -0.655%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.42%44.97%45.11%46.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.112.102.2050.00%47.38%47.51%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -0.077%E -0.042%K -0.094%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -3.94%E -1.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-20 22:15
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.17%E -0.653%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-20 22:25
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.17%E -0.653%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-20 23:10
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -1.17%E -0.653%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -3.49%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-20 22:25
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.17%E -0.653%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -3.94%E -1.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-20 22:25
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.17%E -0.653%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -3.94%E -1.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-20 22:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.17%E -0.653%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 20:15
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.27%E -1.28%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.14%E -0.986%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-20 13:55
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -2.27%E -1.28%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -3.49%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-20 22:55
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -2.27%E -1.28%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -6.65%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 20:49
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.27%E -1.28%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 23:00
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.82%E -1.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 20:15
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.82%E -1.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 13:50
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.82%E -1.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 13:49
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.82%E -1.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 13:50
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.82%E -1.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.82%E -1.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 13:50
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.65%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 20:15
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-20 13:55
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 13:50
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 13:50
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 16:09
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.81%E -4.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-20 20:50
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-20 23:15
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-20 20:05
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-20 13:50
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-20 14:50
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 23:15
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 13:54
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.49%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 19:30
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.49%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 19:30
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.85%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 13:48
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 14:10
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 14:10
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 14:10
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 14:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 14:45
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.49%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 20:15
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 23:10
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 13:55
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 13:55
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 23:15
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 23:15
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 23:15
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 23:15
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 23:15
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 23:15
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 23:05
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 23:15
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.786%E -0.357%K -0.655%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 23:15
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 23:15
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 23:15
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-20 20:15
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.20%E -2.98%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 23:15
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.20%E -2.98%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 23:15
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.21%E -4.27%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-20 23:15
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.21%E -4.27%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 22:49
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.76%E -4.62%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 23:15
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.76%E -4.62%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -6.65%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-20 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.31%E -4.98%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-20 23:15
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -8.86%E -5.34%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 23:15
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.41%E -5.70%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-20 23:09
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.41%E -5.70%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-20 23:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-07-20 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-07-20 23:15
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-20 23:15
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-20 22:20
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-20 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-07-20 23:10
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-07-20 23:05
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-07-20 23:15
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%4.1%2026-07-20 23:10
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%4.3%2026-07-20 23:15