La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Braves v San Diego Padres

Inicio: 2026-07-20 23:16 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 3–2 San Diego Padres

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Predicción 54.90%1.82momio equitativo
EV -0.077%
Ventaja -0.042%
Kelly -0.094%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.25%55.03%54.89%56.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.741.731.8260.61%57.59%57.80%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Predicción 45.10%2.22momio equitativo
EV -0.786%
Ventaja -0.357%
Kelly -0.655%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.42%44.97%45.11%46.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.112.102.2050.00%47.38%47.51%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -0.077%E -0.042%K -0.094%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -3.94%E -1.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-20 22:15
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.17%E -0.653%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-20 22:25
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.17%E -0.653%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-20 23:10
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -1.17%E -0.653%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -3.49%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-20 22:25
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.17%E -0.653%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -3.94%E -1.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-20 22:25
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.17%E -0.653%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -3.94%E -1.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-20 22:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.17%E -0.653%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 20:15
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.27%E -1.28%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.14%E -0.986%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-20 13:55
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -2.27%E -1.28%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -3.49%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-20 22:55
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -2.27%E -1.28%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -6.65%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 20:49
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.27%E -1.28%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 23:00
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.82%E -1.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 20:15
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.82%E -1.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 13:50
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.82%E -1.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 13:49
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.82%E -1.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 13:50
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.82%E -1.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.82%E -1.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 13:50
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.65%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 20:15
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-20 13:55
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 13:50
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 13:50
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 16:09
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.81%E -4.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-20 20:50
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-20 23:15
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-20 20:05
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-20 13:50
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-20 14:50
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 23:15
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 13:54
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.49%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 19:30
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.49%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 19:30
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.85%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 13:48
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 14:10
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 14:10
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 14:10
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 14:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 14:45
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.49%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 20:15
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 23:10
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 13:55
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 13:55
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 23:15
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 23:15
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 23:15
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 23:15
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 23:15
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 23:15
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 23:05
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 23:15
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.786%E -0.357%K -0.655%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 23:15
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 23:15
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 23:15
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-20 20:15
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.20%E -2.98%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 23:15
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.20%E -2.98%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 23:15
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.21%E -4.27%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-20 23:15
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.21%E -4.27%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 22:49
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.76%E -4.62%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 23:15
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.76%E -4.62%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -6.65%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-20 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.31%E -4.98%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-20 23:15
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -8.86%E -5.34%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 23:15
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.41%E -5.70%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-20 23:09
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.41%E -5.70%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-20 23:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-07-20 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-07-20 23:15
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-20 23:15
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-20 22:20
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-20 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-07-20 23:10
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-07-20 23:05
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-07-20 23:15
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%4.1%2026-07-20 23:10
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%4.3%2026-07-20 23:15