Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves v Pittsburgh Pirates

Kickoff: 2026-06-05 23:16 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 6–3 Pittsburgh Pirates

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prediction 56.99%1.75fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.84%57.10%56.99%59.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.671.671.7261.73%59.86%59.88%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 43.01%2.32fair odd
EV +1.08%
Edge +0.459%
Kelly +0.799%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.81%42.90%43.01%44.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.232.252.3546.51%44.75%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 56.99%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 43.01%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +1.08%E +0.459%K +0.799%G +0.009%4.3%2026-06-05 22:43
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.219%E +0.094%K +0.165%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-05 22:30
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -4.26%E -2.54%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -0.641%E -0.278%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-05 22:59
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.07%E -0.466%K -0.824%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-05 22:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.26%E -2.54%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.07%E -0.466%K -0.824%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-05 20:20
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.98%E -1.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.93%E -0.847%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-05 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -1.93%E -0.847%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-05 20:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -1.93%E -0.847%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-05 20:20
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -1.98%E -1.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -2.36%E -1.04%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-05 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.98%E -1.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-05 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.98%E -1.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-05 23:10
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.98%E -1.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-05 23:10
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-05 18:30
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-05 12:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.26%E -2.54%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 22:30
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 18:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 18:29
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 18:29
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 18:29
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 22:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 22:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 22:29
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 20:20
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 20:20
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 20:20
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 20:20
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 20:50
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 20:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 20:20
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 21:50
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 18:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.54%E -3.99%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 20:20
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.54%E -3.99%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 20:20
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.54%E -3.99%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 20:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.54%E -3.99%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 20:20
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 22:59
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 22:29
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.08%E -1.83%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 22:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.51%E -2.03%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.37%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.37%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 23:10
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.37%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 23:10
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.37%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 23:10
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.26%E -2.54%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.37%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 18:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.37%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 07:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.37%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 14:00
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.37%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 03:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.37%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-05 18:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.37%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 23:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.37%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 07:50
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -5.80%E -2.65%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 23:09
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.23%E -2.86%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.26%E -2.54%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.23%E -2.86%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 23:10
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.26%E -2.54%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.23%E -2.86%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 23:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.52%E -3.50%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.52%E -3.50%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.52%E -3.50%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-05 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.52%E -3.50%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-05 23:07
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.52%E -3.50%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-05 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-06-05 23:10
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%0.4%2026-06-05 23:09
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-06-05 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-06-05 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-06-05 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-06-05 23:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-05 16:20
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-05 16:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-06-05 23:10
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%2.3%2026-06-05 23:10