Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlanta Braves v Philadelphia Phillies

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 23:16 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prévision 55.92%1.79cote équitable
EV -1.02%
Avantage -0.574%
Kelly -1.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.26%55.82%56.15%57.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.721.721.7760.61%58.25%58.14%56.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.08%2.27cote équitable
EV +0.495%
Avantage +0.217%
Kelly +0.387%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.00%44.18%43.85%45.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.152.152.2848.78%46.45%46.51%43.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atlanta Braves (Local) : 55.92% ; Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur) : 44.08%. Pour Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.27. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.28, soit une espérance positive de +0.495%.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +0.495%E +0.217%K +0.387%G +0.002%2.0%2026-04-24 02:30
Everygame🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +0.495%E +0.217%K +0.387%G +0.002%2.0%2026-04-24 03:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -0.827%E -0.368%K -0.662%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-24 02:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -0.827%E -0.368%K -0.662%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-24 02:30
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -0.827%E -0.368%K -0.662%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-24 02:30
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -0.827%E -0.368%K -0.662%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-24 03:05
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.58%E -0.895%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.59%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-24 00:14
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.49%E -3.25%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.59%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 02:58
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 03:00
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 01:04
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 03:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 03:35
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 03:33
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.49%E -3.25%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-24 02:10
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.49%E -3.25%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-24 03:35
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.05%E -3.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.05%E -3.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:35
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.47%E -1.59%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 01:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.91%E -1.79%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-24 01:03
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.91%E -1.79%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 02:09
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.13%E -1.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 21:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.13%E -1.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-24 03:10
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.69%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-24 01:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.69%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-24 02:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:04
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 01:05
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.49%E -3.25%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 01:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.05%E -3.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:00
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 01:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 02:19
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 02:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.69%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.68%E -2.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 03:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.69%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.68%E -2.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 03:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.68%E -2.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 00:10
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:04
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:05
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:09
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:09
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:10
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:09
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:09
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:10
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:09
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:10
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 23:09
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:15
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:15
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.02%E -0.574%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:00
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:04
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:04
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.13%E -1.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.32%E -4.00%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 17:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.17%E -4.32%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 01:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.73%E -4.68%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 01:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%-0.1%2026-04-24 02:49
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%0.9%2026-04-24 03:30
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-24 02:55
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-24 00:50
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%2.8%2026-04-24 03:24
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%5.4%2026-04-24 03:10