La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Braves v Philadelphia Phillies

Inicio: 2026-04-24 23:16 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Predicción 55.92%1.79momio equitativo
EV -1.02%
Ventaja -0.574%
Kelly -1.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.26%55.82%56.15%57.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.721.721.7760.61%58.25%58.14%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Predicción 44.08%2.27momio equitativo
EV +0.495%
Ventaja +0.217%
Kelly +0.387%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.00%44.18%43.85%45.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.152.152.2848.78%46.45%46.51%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +0.495%E +0.217%K +0.387%G +0.002%2.0%2026-04-24 02:30
Everygame1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +0.495%E +0.217%K +0.387%G +0.002%2.0%2026-04-24 03:35
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -0.827%E -0.368%K -0.662%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-24 02:30
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -0.827%E -0.368%K -0.662%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-24 02:30
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -0.827%E -0.368%K -0.662%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-24 02:30
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -0.827%E -0.368%K -0.662%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-24 03:05
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.58%E -0.895%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.59%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-24 00:14
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.49%E -3.25%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.59%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 02:58
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 03:00
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 01:04
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 03:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 03:35
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 03:33
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.49%E -3.25%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-24 02:10
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.49%E -3.25%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-24 03:35
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.05%E -3.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.05%E -3.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:35
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.47%E -1.59%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 01:04
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.91%E -1.79%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-24 01:03
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.91%E -1.79%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 02:09
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.13%E -1.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 21:29
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.13%E -1.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-24 03:10
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.69%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-24 01:05
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.69%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-24 02:10
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:04
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:15
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 01:05
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.49%E -3.25%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 01:05
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.05%E -3.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:00
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 01:00
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 02:19
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 02:45
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.69%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.68%E -2.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 03:09
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.69%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.68%E -2.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 03:10
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.68%E -2.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 00:10
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:04
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:05
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:09
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:09
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:10
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:09
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:10
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:09
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:10
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:10
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:09
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:10
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:10
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 23:09
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:15
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:15
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.02%E -0.574%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 18:00
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:00
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:04
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:04
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:04
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:04
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:04
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.13%E -1.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.32%E -4.00%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 17:59
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.17%E -4.32%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 01:05
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.73%E -4.68%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 01:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%-0.1%2026-04-24 02:49
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%0.9%2026-04-24 03:30
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-24 02:55
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-24 00:50
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%2.8%2026-04-24 03:24
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%5.4%2026-04-24 03:10