The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Atlanta Braves v Philadelphia Phillies

Kickoff: 2026-10-01 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prediction 48.88%2.05fair odd
EV +0.199%
Edge +0.097%
Kelly +0.189%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.94%48.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.941.942.0556.18%51.51%51.55%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

Prediction 51.12%1.96fair odd
EV +0.200%
Edge +0.102%
Kelly +0.208%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.06%51.05%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.861.871.9658.82%53.62%53.48%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 48.88%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 51.12%. For Philadelphia Phillies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.956. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.960, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.200%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -4.20%E -2.14%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV +0.200%E +0.102%K +0.208%G +0.000%2.0%2026-10-01 04:24
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.73%E -1.37%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.84%E -0.961%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-01 05:55
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-01 03:49
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.87%E -1.51%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-30 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.87%E -1.51%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-01 04:15
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.51%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 21:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.51%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.51%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 04:25
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.38%E -1.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 02:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.38%E -1.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 02:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.38%E -1.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 02:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.38%E -1.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 02:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -0.290%E -0.142%K -0.279%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.2%2026-10-01 05:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -0.290%E -0.142%K -0.279%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.2%2026-10-01 05:13
Everygame🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -0.290%E -0.142%K -0.279%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.2%2026-10-01 05:38
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.18%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 05:04
BetAnything🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.18%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 05:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 02:10
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 02:10
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 02:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 02:10
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 02:10
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 02:10
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 04:25
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 02:10
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 04:30
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 04:30
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.199%E +0.097%K +0.189%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-01 05:49
Caesars🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.22%E -1.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-30 22:28
MyBookie.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.22%E -1.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-01 04:25
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 21:45
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 21:35
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 21:45
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 04:15
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 21:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 21:50
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.18%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 21:44
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.18%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 21:44
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 03:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-01 05:34
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.22%E -1.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.91%E -2.64%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-01 04:15
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.20%E -2.14%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.91%E -2.64%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 04:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.91%E -2.64%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 04:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -4.91%E -2.64%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 02:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -4.91%E -2.64%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 02:10
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.22%E -1.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-01 04:20
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 04:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 04:20
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 21:45
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 04:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 03:24
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-30 21:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-30 21:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-30 21:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.18%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.93%E -3.23%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 04:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.18%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.93%E -3.23%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 04:19
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.45%E -3.52%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 04:40
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.45%E -3.52%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 04:20
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -6.96%E -3.82%K -8.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-01 02:10
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.98%E -4.43%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 04:20
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.98%E -4.43%K -9.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-01 04:18
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.98%E -4.43%K -9.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-01 04:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.98%E -4.43%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-01 04:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.85%EV -13.00%E -7.30%K -16.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.15%EV -13.09%E -7.70%K -18.70%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-01 04:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.10I 47.62%NM 48.28%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.72%-1.4%2026-10-01 05:55
ProphetX◎2.01I 49.75%NM 49.62%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.38%0.3%2026-10-01 04:35
Novig◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-10-01 05:45
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-10-01 04:10
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-10-01 03:01
Matchbook◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51%1.5%2026-10-01 05:50
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%8.4%2026-10-01 05:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 49.58%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.42%10.8%2026-10-01 05:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 49.58%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.42%10.8%2026-10-01 05:04