La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Braves v New York Mets

Inicio: 2026-07-05 00:09 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 14–3 New York Mets

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Predicción 63.17%1.58momio equitativo
EV -0.826%
Ventaja -0.526%
Kelly -1.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.95%63.24%63.14%64.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.511.501.5768.03%66.18%66.67%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New York Mets (Visitante)

Predicción 36.83%2.72momio equitativo
EV -0.185%
Ventaja -0.068%
Kelly -0.108%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.56%36.76%36.86%39.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.602.602.7140.82%38.52%38.46%36.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -0.826%E -0.526%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -3.87%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-04 23:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -0.826%E -0.526%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -9.76%E -3.98%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 22:25
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%EV -2.09%E -1.35%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%EV -2.03%E -0.762%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-04 23:55
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -2.72%E -1.77%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -6.45%E -2.54%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 22:30
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.35%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.185%E -0.068%K -0.108%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 00:05
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.35%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.185%E -0.068%K -0.108%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 00:05
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.35%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.553%E -0.205%K -0.325%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 00:05
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.35%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.553%E -0.205%K -0.325%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 00:04
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.35%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.39%E -0.904%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 00:05
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.35%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.39%E -0.904%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-04 23:15
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.35%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 22:40
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.35%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 22:30
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.35%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 22:29
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.35%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.97%E -1.93%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 22:40
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.35%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.08%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 22:30
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.35%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 22:55
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.98%E -2.62%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 00:04
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.98%E -2.62%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 00:05
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -3.98%E -2.62%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.97%E -1.93%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 00:00
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.98%E -2.62%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.08%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 23:59
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.98%E -2.62%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.08%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 22:45
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -3.98%E -2.62%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -6.81%E -2.69%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 22:30
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -0.553%E -0.205%K -0.325%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-05 00:05
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.13%E -1.19%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-04 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.13%E -1.19%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-04 23:10
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.50%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 00:05
Fanatics1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 00:05
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.34%E -2.08%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 00:05
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.34%E -2.08%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 00:05
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -5.71%E -2.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:05
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.08%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 00:00
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.39%E -0.904%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.39%E -0.904%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 00:05
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.39%E -0.904%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 00:05
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.39%E -0.904%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 00:05
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.39%E -0.904%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.50%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 00:05
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.50%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 00:05
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 00:04
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:10
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:10
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:10
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.08%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 00:04
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.08%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 22:45
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.08%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 22:45
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.08%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 22:45
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.08%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.08%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 00:00
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.08%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 00:05
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 22:25
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.88%E -3.95%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.553%E -0.205%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 00:03
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.88%E -3.95%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.39%E -0.904%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 00:00
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.88%E -3.95%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 00:05
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.51%E -4.40%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.08%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -6.51%E -4.40%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.66%E -3.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 00:04
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.14%E -4.86%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 00:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-07-05 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-07-05 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-07-05 00:05
BetOpenly1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%0.1%2026-07-05 00:05
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-05 00:02
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-05 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-07-05 00:05
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-05 00:05
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.8%2026-07-05 00:05
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%3.0%2026-07-05 00:05