مدرسة الاحتمالات

Atlanta Braves v New York Mets

البداية: 2026-07-05 00:09 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Atlanta Braves 14–3 New York Mets

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Atlanta Braves (المضيف)

التنبؤ 63.17%1.58السعر العادل
EV -0.826%
الأفضلية -0.526%
Kelly -1.45%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.95%63.24%63.14%64.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.471.511.501.5768.03%66.18%66.67%63.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

New York Mets (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.83%2.72السعر العادل
EV -0.185%
الأفضلية -0.068%
Kelly -0.108%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.56%36.76%36.86%39.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.452.602.602.7140.82%38.52%38.46%36.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -0.826%E -0.526%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -3.87%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-04 23:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -0.826%E -0.526%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -9.76%E -3.98%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 22:25
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%EV -2.09%E -1.35%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%EV -2.03%E -0.762%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-04 23:55
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -2.72%E -1.77%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -6.45%E -2.54%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 22:30
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.35%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.185%E -0.068%K -0.108%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 00:05
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.35%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.185%E -0.068%K -0.108%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 00:05
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.35%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.553%E -0.205%K -0.325%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 00:05
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.35%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.553%E -0.205%K -0.325%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 00:04
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.35%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.39%E -0.904%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 00:05
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.35%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.39%E -0.904%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-04 23:15
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.35%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 22:40
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.35%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 22:30
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.35%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 22:29
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.35%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.97%E -1.93%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 22:40
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.35%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.08%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 22:30
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.35%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 22:55
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.98%E -2.62%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 00:04
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.98%E -2.62%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 00:05
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -3.98%E -2.62%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.97%E -1.93%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 00:00
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.98%E -2.62%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.08%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 23:59
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.98%E -2.62%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.08%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 22:45
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -3.98%E -2.62%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -6.81%E -2.69%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 22:30
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -0.553%E -0.205%K -0.325%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-05 00:05
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.13%E -1.19%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-04 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.13%E -1.19%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-04 23:10
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.50%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 00:05
Fanatics1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 00:05
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.34%E -2.08%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 00:05
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.34%E -2.08%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 00:05
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -5.71%E -2.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:05
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.08%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 00:00
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.39%E -0.904%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.39%E -0.904%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 00:05
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.39%E -0.904%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 00:05
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.39%E -0.904%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 00:05
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.39%E -0.904%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.50%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 00:05
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.50%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 00:05
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 00:04
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:10
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:10
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:10
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.08%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 00:04
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.08%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 22:45
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.08%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 22:45
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.08%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 22:45
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.08%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.08%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 00:00
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.08%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 00:05
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 22:25
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.88%E -3.95%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.553%E -0.205%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 00:03
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.88%E -3.95%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.39%E -0.904%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 00:00
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.88%E -3.95%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 00:05
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.51%E -4.40%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.08%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -6.51%E -4.40%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.66%E -3.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 00:04
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.14%E -4.86%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 00:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-07-05 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-07-05 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-07-05 00:05
BetOpenly1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%0.1%2026-07-05 00:05
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-05 00:02
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-05 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-07-05 00:05
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-05 00:05
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.8%2026-07-05 00:05
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%3.0%2026-07-05 00:05