Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves v Kansas City Royals

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 23:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prediction 56.89%1.76fair odd
EV -0.441%
Edge -0.252%
Kelly -0.589%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.56%56.83%56.96%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.691.691.7562.89%59.27%59.17%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visit)

Prediction 43.11%2.32fair odd
EV -0.848%
Edge -0.369%
Kelly -0.653%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%43.17%43.04%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.202.202.3047.62%45.52%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 56.89%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 43.11%. For Atlanta Braves (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.75, with an expected value of -0.441%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -0.441%E -0.252%K -0.589%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -4.30%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-27 21:20
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.15%E -1.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.57%E -1.14%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 00:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -2.15%E -1.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -6.45%E -2.97%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -2.15%E -1.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -6.45%E -2.97%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -2.15%E -1.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -6.45%E -2.97%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 23:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -2.15%E -1.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -6.45%E -2.97%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 23:35
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.15%E -1.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.31%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.15%E -1.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.31%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:35
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.15%E -1.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.31%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.15%E -1.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.31%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.15%E -1.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.31%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:35
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.15%E -1.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.31%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:35
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.15%E -1.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.31%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:35
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.72%E -1.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.28%E -0.559%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-28 02:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.72%E -1.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.71%E -0.750%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-28 02:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.72%E -1.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.71%E -0.750%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-28 02:55
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.72%E -1.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.14%E -0.944%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-28 02:55
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.72%E -1.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.75%E -3.62%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.72%E -1.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.75%E -3.62%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:50
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:50
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:25
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.31%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 22:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.31%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 21:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.00%E -1.34%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-27 18:45
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.30%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 00:24
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 01:35
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -1.71%E -0.750%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-28 02:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.44%E -1.53%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 02:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 21:50
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 21:50
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.02%E -2.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 00:05
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.02%E -2.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 00:05
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.31%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.848%E -0.369%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-28 02:00
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.00%E -1.34%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 18:45
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.00%E -1.34%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 23:19
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.87%E -1.73%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.30%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 02:55
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.30%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 02:45
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 22:25
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 21:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.31%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-28 02:55
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 02:55
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 02:54
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.84%E -4.84%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.848%E -0.369%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 02:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.84%E -4.84%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.47%E -4.51%K -8.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-28 02:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -9.54%E -6.00%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -9.47%E -4.51%K -8.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-28 02:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -9.54%E -6.00%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -9.47%E -4.51%K -8.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-28 02:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-28 00:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-28 03:05
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-03-28 00:10
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.3%2026-03-28 03:10
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-03-28 03:10
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%6.1%2026-03-28 03:10