Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.46
assuming max odds 3.07
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 66.79%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 33.21%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.97%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.07%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.93%EV +1.97%E +0.641%K +0.950%G +0.019% | 2.0% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV +1.30%E +0.427%K +0.635%G +0.008% | 2.2% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV +1.30%E +0.427%K +0.635%G +0.008% | 2.2% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -6.50%E -4.64%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +1.30%E +0.427%K +0.635%G +0.008% | 4.2% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.49%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.51%EV -0.690%E -0.231%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%EV -4.50%E -3.14%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%EV -1.02%E -0.343%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-24 23:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%EV -2.49%E -1.71%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%EV -1.69%E -0.570%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-24 20:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.50%E -3.14%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.02%E -0.684%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-24 23:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.83%E -4.14%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.02%E -0.684%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-24 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.43%EV -5.16%E -3.64%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.57%EV -2.35%E -0.800%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 22:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV -4.50%E -3.14%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -3.35%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-24 15:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.16%E -2.18%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.68%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-24 17:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.16%E -2.18%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.68%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-24 15:32 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.68%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-24 21:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.68%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-24 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.68%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-24 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.68%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-24 22:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.68%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-24 22:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.50%E -3.14%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.68%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.50%E -3.14%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.68%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.16%E -3.64%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.68%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-24 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -9.84%E -7.29%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -3.68%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -3.16%E -2.18%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -4.34%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.50%E -3.14%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.34%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-24 20:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.16%E -3.64%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.34%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 20:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.34%E -1.87%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-24 19:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.50%E -3.14%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.34%E -1.87%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.50%E -3.14%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.34%E -1.87%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.50%E -3.14%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.34%E -1.87%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 16:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.16%E -3.64%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.34%E -1.87%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 22:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.50%E -4.64%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.34%E -1.87%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-24 16:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.50%E -4.64%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.34%E -1.87%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-24 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.50%E -4.64%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.34%E -1.87%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-24 16:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.50%E -4.64%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.34%E -1.87%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-24 22:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.16%E -2.18%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.67%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-24 15:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.50%E -3.14%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -5.67%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.50%E -3.14%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -5.67%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 17:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -6.67%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.16%E -2.18%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.16%E -2.18%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.16%E -2.18%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.16%E -2.18%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-24 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.50%E -3.14%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-24 20:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.50%E -3.14%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-24 23:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.50%E -3.14%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-24 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.83%E -4.14%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.50%E -4.64%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-24 20:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.50%E -4.64%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-24 23:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.50%E -4.64%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-24 22:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.50%E -4.64%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-24 23:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.50%E -4.64%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.16%E -2.18%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 22:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.16%E -2.18%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 22:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 03:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.50%E -3.14%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.50%E -3.14%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.50%E -4.64%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-24 22:48 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.50%E -4.64%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -7.84%E -5.68%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -13.64%E -5.25%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-24 23:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.19% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.81% | 0.4% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-09-24 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-09-24 15:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-09-24 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.7% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.7% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.8% | 2026-09-24 20:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42% | 2.7% | 2026-09-24 23:15 |