L’École des cotes

Atlanta Braves v Boston Red Sox

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 17:36 UTC

Score final : Atlanta Braves 8–1 Boston Red Sox

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prévision 57.23%1.75cote équitable
EV -0.992%
Avantage -0.573%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.84%57.33%57.18%59.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.661.671.7364.10%60.36%59.88%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boston Red Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.77%2.34cote équitable
EV -0.774%
Avantage -0.334%
Kelly -0.586%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.94%42.67%42.82%44.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.232.242.3246.51%44.80%44.64%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -0.992%E -0.573%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -2.91%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-17 17:35
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -0.992%E -0.573%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 17:35
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -0.992%E -0.573%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 17:35
BetUS1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -0.992%E -0.573%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 17:34
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.14%E -1.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.63%E -0.708%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 17:25
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.14%E -1.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.06%E -0.898%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 16:30
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.14%E -1.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.34%E -1.48%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-17 17:34
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.71%E -1.59%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -0.774%E -0.334%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-17 17:10
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.71%E -1.59%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:25
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.71%E -1.59%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:25
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.71%E -1.59%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:34
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.71%E -1.59%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.04%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.71%E -1.59%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.04%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:34
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.71%E -1.59%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.04%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:34
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 17:25
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 16:40
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:35
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -6.33%E -2.89%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 17:30
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.76%E -3.10%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 17:34
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 16:40
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.62%E -2.07%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 17:34
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.76%E -3.10%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:24
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.76%E -3.10%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:25
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.04%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 17:30
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.91%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 17:35
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.34%E -1.48%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 16:39
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:29
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.05%E -2.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:40
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.05%E -2.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:34
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:34
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:34
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:34
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:34
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.62%E -2.07%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:30
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.05%E -2.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 16:25
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.57%E -3.38%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.63%E -0.708%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 12:29
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.57%E -3.38%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:25
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.57%E -3.38%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 17:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.57%E -3.38%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 17:35
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.14%E -3.75%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 17:35
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.14%E -3.75%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 17:35
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 17:35
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 17:35
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 17:35
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 17:35
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 17:35
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 17:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.63%E -0.708%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 03:35
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.63%E -0.708%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 17:30
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 17:35
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 02:34
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 16:40
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.86%E -4.88%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.63%E -0.708%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:30
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.86%E -4.88%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 17:24
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.43%E -5.27%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.63%E -0.708%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 12:30
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -9.58%E -6.06%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 17:35
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -9.58%E -6.06%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 17:35
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.15%E -6.46%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 17:35
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.15%E -6.46%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 17:35
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -10.72%E -6.87%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -10.72%E -6.87%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -4.62%E -2.07%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 17:35
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -10.72%E -6.87%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -4.62%E -2.07%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 17:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 56.40%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.60%0.2%2026-05-17 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-05-17 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-05-17 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-17 17:35
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-17 17:20
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-17 16:55
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%1.8%2026-05-17 17:35
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%2.8%2026-05-17 17:20
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%2.8%2026-05-17 17:35
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%4.8%2026-05-17 17:35