La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Braves v Boston Red Sox

Inicio: 2026-05-17 17:36 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 8–1 Boston Red Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Predicción 57.23%1.75momio equitativo
EV -0.992%
Ventaja -0.573%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.84%57.33%57.18%59.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.661.671.7364.10%60.36%59.88%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 42.77%2.34momio equitativo
EV -0.774%
Ventaja -0.334%
Kelly -0.586%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.94%42.67%42.82%44.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.232.242.3246.51%44.80%44.64%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -0.992%E -0.573%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -2.91%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-17 17:35
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -0.992%E -0.573%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 17:35
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -0.992%E -0.573%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 17:35
BetUS1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -0.992%E -0.573%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 17:34
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.14%E -1.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.63%E -0.708%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 17:25
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.14%E -1.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.06%E -0.898%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 16:30
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.14%E -1.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.34%E -1.48%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-17 17:34
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.71%E -1.59%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -0.774%E -0.334%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-17 17:10
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.71%E -1.59%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:25
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.71%E -1.59%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:25
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.71%E -1.59%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:34
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.71%E -1.59%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.04%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.71%E -1.59%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.04%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:34
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.71%E -1.59%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.04%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:34
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 17:25
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 16:40
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:35
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -6.33%E -2.89%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 17:30
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.76%E -3.10%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 17:34
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 16:40
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.62%E -2.07%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 17:34
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.76%E -3.10%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:24
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.76%E -3.10%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:25
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.04%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 17:30
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.91%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 17:35
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.34%E -1.48%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 16:39
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:29
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.05%E -2.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:40
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.05%E -2.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:34
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:34
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:34
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:34
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:34
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.62%E -2.07%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:30
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.05%E -2.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 16:25
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.57%E -3.38%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.63%E -0.708%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 12:29
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.57%E -3.38%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:25
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.57%E -3.38%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 17:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.57%E -3.38%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 17:35
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.14%E -3.75%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 17:35
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.14%E -3.75%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 17:35
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 17:35
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 17:35
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 17:35
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 17:35
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 17:35
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 17:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.63%E -0.708%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 03:35
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.63%E -0.708%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 17:30
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 17:35
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 02:34
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 16:40
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.86%E -4.88%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.63%E -0.708%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:30
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.86%E -4.88%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.91%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 17:24
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.43%E -5.27%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.63%E -0.708%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 12:30
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -9.58%E -6.06%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 17:35
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -9.58%E -6.06%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 17:35
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.15%E -6.46%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 17:35
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.15%E -6.46%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 17:35
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -10.72%E -6.87%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -3.77%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -10.72%E -6.87%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -4.62%E -2.07%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 17:35
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -10.72%E -6.87%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -4.62%E -2.07%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 17:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 56.40%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.60%0.2%2026-05-17 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-05-17 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-05-17 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-17 17:35
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-17 17:20
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-17 16:55
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%1.8%2026-05-17 17:35
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%2.8%2026-05-17 17:20
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%2.8%2026-05-17 17:35
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%4.8%2026-05-17 17:35