Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves v Arizona Diamondbacks

Kickoff: 2026-08-14 23:16 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 0–2 Arizona Diamondbacks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prediction 64.38%1.55fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.983%
Kelly -2.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%64.39%64.33%65.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.491.481.5370.42%67.33%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

Prediction 35.62%2.81fair odd
EV -0.254%
Edge -0.091%
Kelly -0.141%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%35.61%35.67%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.682.702.8039.22%37.28%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 64.38%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 35.62%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -0.254%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%EV -1.50%E -0.983%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%EV -0.254%E -0.091%K -0.141%G +0.000%1.1%2026-08-14 20:29
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -1.50%E -0.983%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -2.75%E -1.01%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-14 20:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -1.50%E -0.983%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-14 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -1.50%E -0.983%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-14 23:09
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -1.50%E -0.983%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 23:09
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%EV -2.15%E -1.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%EV -0.254%E -0.091%K -0.141%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-14 20:25
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%EV -2.15%E -1.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%EV -1.32%E -0.478%K -0.747%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-14 20:39
theScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.15%E -1.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-14 22:34
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97%EV -2.79%E -1.85%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%EV -0.254%E -0.091%K -0.141%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-14 23:05
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.79%E -1.85%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -2.04%E -0.740%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-14 20:28
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.79%E -1.85%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -3.10%E -1.14%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 22:09
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.44%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.04%E -0.740%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 23:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.44%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.04%E -0.740%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 23:04
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.44%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.39%E -0.873%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 23:14
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.44%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 20:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.44%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 21:18
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.44%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 21:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.44%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 20:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.44%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 20:24
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.44%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 20:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.44%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 23:10
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.44%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 23:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.08%E -2.74%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.08%E -2.74%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.72%E -3.19%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.04%E -0.740%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 20:29
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.72%E -3.19%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 23:00
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.72%E -3.19%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 20:29
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.72%E -3.19%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.72%E -3.19%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 23:04
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.72%E -3.19%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 23:04
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.72%E -3.19%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 23:03
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.72%E -3.19%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 23:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.72%E -3.19%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.72%E -3.19%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 23:09
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.72%E -3.19%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 23:09
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.72%E -3.19%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 23:10
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.72%E -3.19%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.89%E -1.83%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 20:29
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.72%E -3.19%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 23:14
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.72%E -3.19%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 20:24
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.72%E -3.19%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 20:22
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.72%E -3.19%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 20:29
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.72%E -3.19%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 20:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.72%E -3.19%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 20:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.72%E -3.19%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 21:44
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.37%E -3.65%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 20:25
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.37%E -3.65%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 22:59
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.37%E -3.65%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -5.37%E -3.65%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -4.53%E -1.69%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 23:04
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.37%E -3.65%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 17:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.37%E -3.65%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 17:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.37%E -3.65%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 17:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.37%E -3.65%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 23:04
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.37%E -3.65%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 20:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.37%E -3.65%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 20:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.65%E -4.59%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 20:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.65%E -4.59%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 23:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.65%E -4.59%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 23:09
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.65%E -4.59%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 23:03
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.65%E -4.59%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 23:03
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.65%E -4.59%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 22:48
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.67%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 20:46
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -8.59%E -6.05%K -20.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 23:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.53I 65.36%NM 65.23%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.77%0.2%2026-08-14 23:14
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-08-14 22:55
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-08-14 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-08-14 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-08-14 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-08-14 23:10
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-08-14 23:14
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-14 22:50
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-14 20:29
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-08-14 23:10