مدرسة الاحتمالات

Athletics v Washington Nationals

البداية: 2026-07-19 02:06 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Athletics 15–1 Washington Nationals

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Athletics (المضيف)

التنبؤ 49.14%2.03السعر العادل
EV +0.745%
الأفضلية +0.363%
Kelly +0.710%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.75%49.09%49.21%50.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.851.931.912.0554.05%51.89%52.36%48.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Washington Nationals (الضيف)

التنبؤ 50.86%1.97السعر العادل
EV +0.695%
الأفضلية +0.351%
Kelly +0.709%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.98

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.36%50.91%50.79%53.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.891.901.9855.56%53.02%52.63%50.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +0.745%E +0.363%K +0.710%G +0.005%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -8.46%E -4.70%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 01:34
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.71%E -0.856%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 01:35
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.71%E -0.856%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 01:35
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.71%E -0.856%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 01:35
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.71%E -0.856%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 01:35
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.20%E -1.11%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.85%E -0.957%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 01:55
BetAnything1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -2.20%E -1.11%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-19 02:00
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.69%E -1.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 02:05
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.69%E -1.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.41%E -2.91%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 02:05
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.19%E -1.62%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.831%E -0.426%K -0.874%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-18 23:53
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.19%E -1.62%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 02:04
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.68%E -1.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.42%E -3.49%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 02:05
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-19 00:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 02:05
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 02:05
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 01:55
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.41%E -2.91%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 02:05
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 01:35
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 02:05
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 02:05
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 01:55
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.44%E -4.09%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 02:05
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV +0.695%E +0.351%K +0.709%G +0.005%2.3%2026-07-18 22:20
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -1.34%E -0.690%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 22:40
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -1.34%E -0.690%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 22:40
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 02:04
Betr (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 01:55
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 02:04
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 00:25
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.64%E -2.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 02:05
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.64%E -2.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 23:30
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -1.85%E -0.957%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-18 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -1.85%E -0.957%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-18 22:40
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 22:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 22:20
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 23:30
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 02:04
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 00:30
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 01:55
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 01:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 01:55
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 02:05
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 22:20
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 22:20
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 02:00
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 02:00
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 01:50
DraftKings1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 02:05
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.46%E -4.70%K -10.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 02:00
betano_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.46%E -4.70%K -10.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 01:55
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.12%E -3.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 22:40
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.12%E -3.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.12%E -3.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 22:40
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.12%E -3.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 22:40
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.12%E -3.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 22:40
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.12%E -3.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -7.12%E -3.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 22:40
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -7.12%E -3.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 22:40
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 22:40
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 02:05
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%EV -8.10%E -4.33%K -9.31%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.40%EV -6.42%E -3.49%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-19 01:40
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -9.08%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -4.39%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 22:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%0.1%2026-07-19 02:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-07-19 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-07-19 02:05
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-18 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%1.3%2026-07-19 02:00
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-07-19 02:05
ProphetX2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%1.8%2026-07-19 02:05
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-07-19 02:05
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-07-19 02:05
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 48.45%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.55%3.7%2026-07-19 02:05