Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Toronto Blue Jays

Início: 2026-09-09 19:06 UTC

Final: Athletics 2–0 Toronto Blue Jays

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Previsão 40.30%2.48odd justa
EV +0.745%
Vantagem +0.298%
Kelly +0.497%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.57%40.25%40.20%42.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.232.372.382.5044.84%42.25%42.11%40.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Previsão 59.70%1.67odd justa
EV -1.49%
Vantagem -0.904%
Kelly -2.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.84%59.75%59.80%61.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.531.601.611.6565.36%62.32%62.11%60.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Athletics (Local): 40.30%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 59.70%. Para Athletics (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.48. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.745%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
ReBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +0.745%E +0.298%K +0.497%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 17:14
Everygame🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.061%E -0.025%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 17:17
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.27%E -0.518%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 15:40
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.27%E -0.518%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-09 17:05
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.27%E -0.518%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-09 17:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.27%E -0.518%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 17:05
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.27%E -0.518%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:15
FanDuel🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -1.67%E -0.686%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -5.67%E -3.59%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 15:40
SportsBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -2.48%E -1.02%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 15:40
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.88%E -1.20%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.49%E -0.904%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 17:05
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.88%E -1.20%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.49%E -0.904%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 17:10
GTbets🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.88%E -1.20%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.49%E -0.904%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 17:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -2.88%E -1.20%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 17:10
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 17:35
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 17:05
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 17:04
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.67%E -3.59%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 17:15
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.67%E -3.59%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:40
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 15:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -1.49%E -0.904%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -1.49%E -0.904%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 17:35
BetUS🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-09 17:30
DraftKings🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 17:04
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 15:55
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 17:04
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 16:40
BetAnything🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -4.49%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -1.49%E -0.904%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.49%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.49%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.30%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.69%E -1.65%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 17:05
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.30%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:05
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.30%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:39
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.30%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:35
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.30%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.30%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.67%E -3.59%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.30%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.67%E -3.59%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.70%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 17:05
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -6.11%E -2.62%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.69%E -1.65%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -6.11%E -2.62%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.69%E -1.65%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -6.11%E -2.62%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.69%E -1.65%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -6.11%E -2.62%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.69%E -1.65%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:00
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.11%E -2.62%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 17:10
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.11%E -2.62%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 17:10
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.51%E -2.81%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:00
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.51%E -2.81%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.51%E -2.81%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.51%E -2.81%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:00
Bally Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.51%E -2.81%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:00
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.51%E -2.81%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:00
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.49%E -0.904%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 17:30
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.69%E -1.65%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:30
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 17:05
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.12%E -3.56%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.12%E -3.56%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -9.33%E -4.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -9.33%E -4.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -10.14%E -4.55%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 17:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.47I 40.49%NM 40.48%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.52%0.0%2026-09-09 17:25
Novig◎2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%0.4%2026-09-09 17:35
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-09-09 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-09-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-09-09 17:10
Polymarket◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-09 17:05
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-09 17:40
ProphetX◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-09 17:40
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%1.9%2026-09-09 17:10