Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Toronto Blue Jays

Inicio: 2026-09-09 19:06 UTC

Final: Athletics 2–0 Toronto Blue Jays

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Predicción 40.30%2.48momio equitativo
EV +0.745%
Ventaja +0.298%
Kelly +0.497%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.57%40.25%40.20%42.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.232.372.382.5044.84%42.25%42.11%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Predicción 59.70%1.67momio equitativo
EV -1.49%
Ventaja -0.904%
Kelly -2.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.84%59.75%59.80%61.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.601.611.6565.36%62.32%62.11%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Athletics (Local): 40.30%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 59.70%. Para Athletics (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.48. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.745%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
ReBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +0.745%E +0.298%K +0.497%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 17:14
Everygame🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.061%E -0.025%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 17:17
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.27%E -0.518%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 15:40
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.27%E -0.518%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-09 17:05
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.27%E -0.518%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-09 17:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.27%E -0.518%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 17:05
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.27%E -0.518%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:15
FanDuel🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -1.67%E -0.686%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -5.67%E -3.59%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 15:40
SportsBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -2.48%E -1.02%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 15:40
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.88%E -1.20%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.49%E -0.904%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 17:05
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.88%E -1.20%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.49%E -0.904%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 17:10
GTbets🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.88%E -1.20%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.49%E -0.904%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 17:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -2.88%E -1.20%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 17:10
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 17:35
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 17:05
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 17:04
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.67%E -3.59%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 17:15
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.67%E -3.59%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:40
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 15:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -1.49%E -0.904%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -1.49%E -0.904%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 17:35
BetUS🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-09 17:30
DraftKings🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 17:04
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 15:55
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 17:04
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 16:40
BetAnything🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -4.49%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -1.49%E -0.904%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.49%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.49%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.30%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.69%E -1.65%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 17:05
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.30%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:05
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.30%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:39
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.30%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:35
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.30%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.30%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.67%E -3.59%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.30%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.67%E -3.59%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.70%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 17:05
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -6.11%E -2.62%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.69%E -1.65%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -6.11%E -2.62%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.69%E -1.65%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -6.11%E -2.62%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.69%E -1.65%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -6.11%E -2.62%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.69%E -1.65%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:00
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.11%E -2.62%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 17:10
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.11%E -2.62%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 17:10
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.51%E -2.81%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:00
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.51%E -2.81%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.51%E -2.81%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.51%E -2.81%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:00
Bally Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.51%E -2.81%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:00
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.51%E -2.81%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:00
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.49%E -0.904%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 17:30
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.69%E -1.65%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:30
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 17:05
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.12%E -3.56%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.12%E -3.56%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -9.33%E -4.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -9.33%E -4.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -10.14%E -4.55%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 17:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎2.47I 40.49%NM 40.48%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.52%0.0%2026-09-09 17:25
Novig◎2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%0.4%2026-09-09 17:35
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-09-09 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-09-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-09-09 17:10
Polymarket◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-09 17:05
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-09 17:40
ProphetX◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-09 17:40
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%1.9%2026-09-09 17:10