Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics v Texas Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-08-16 20:06 UTC

Final: Athletics 5–2 Texas Rangers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 45.74%2.19fair odd
EV -0.749%
Edge -0.345%
Kelly -0.640%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.01%45.80%45.77%47.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.1750.00%47.71%47.62%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 54.26%1.84fair odd
EV +0.385%
Edge +0.208%
Kelly +0.453%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.81%54.20%54.23%55.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.751.8559.88%56.95%57.14%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 45.74%; Texas Rangers (Visit): 54.26%. For Texas Rangers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.385%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%EV +0.385%E +0.208%K +0.453%G +0.002%1.7%2026-08-16 20:04
GTbets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -4.87%E -2.34%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV +0.385%E +0.208%K +0.453%G +0.002%2.1%2026-08-16 20:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -5.32%E -2.57%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV +0.385%E +0.208%K +0.453%G +0.002%2.4%2026-08-16 20:05
Caesars🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.79%E -0.986%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-16 18:53
Bovada🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -6.69%E -3.28%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -1.79%E -0.986%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 20:04
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.66%E -0.774%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.33%E -1.29%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-16 19:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.66%E -0.774%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.33%E -1.29%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-16 20:04
theScore Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -3.49%E -1.66%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.33%E -1.29%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 19:29
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.33%E -1.29%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 20:04
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.61%E -3.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.33%E -1.29%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:04
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.749%E -0.345%K -0.640%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.87%E -1.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-16 19:55
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.21%E -0.559%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.87%E -1.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-16 19:29
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.66%E -0.774%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.87%E -1.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 19:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.61%E -3.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.87%E -1.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 20:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.749%E -0.345%K -0.640%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.41%E -1.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 19:50
BetAnything🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.12%E -0.991%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.41%E -1.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.87%E -2.34%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.41%E -1.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 20:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.96%E -2.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 18:49
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.96%E -2.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 19:29
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.96%E -2.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.96%E -2.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:25
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -0.749%E -0.345%K -0.640%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -4.50%E -2.56%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 19:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -0.749%E -0.345%K -0.640%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -4.50%E -2.56%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 19:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -3.49%E -1.66%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.50%E -2.56%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 19:33
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.32%E -2.57%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.50%E -2.56%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 19:19
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.32%E -2.57%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.50%E -2.56%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 19:19
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.04%E -2.88%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.04%E -2.88%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 19:25
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.04%E -2.88%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 19:30
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.04%E -2.88%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 19:40
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.04%E -2.88%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 19:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.04%E -2.88%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 19:54
Dabble (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.87%E -2.34%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.04%E -2.88%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 19:50
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.04%E -2.88%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 20:05
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.04%E -2.88%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 19:55
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.04%E -2.88%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 20:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.12%E -0.991%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.58%E -3.21%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 18:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.12%E -0.991%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.58%E -3.21%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 18:59
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.58%E -3.21%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 19:29
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.58%E -3.21%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 19:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.58%E -3.21%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 19:30
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.58%E -3.21%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 20:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.58%E -3.21%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 20:05
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.12%E -0.991%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.13%E -3.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 19:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.12%E -0.991%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.13%E -3.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 19:05
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.12%E -0.991%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.13%E -3.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 19:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.12%E -0.991%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.13%E -3.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 19:04
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.12%E -0.991%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.13%E -3.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 19:04
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.12%E -0.991%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.13%E -3.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 19:05
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.13%E -3.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 18:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.13%E -3.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.13%E -3.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.13%E -3.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 18:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.13%E -3.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 19:54
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.13%E -3.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 19:29
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.04%E -1.43%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.67%E -3.88%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 19:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 19:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 19:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -7.15%E -3.52%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 19:38
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.66%E -0.774%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.30%E -4.91%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 19:19
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.77%EV -5.78%E -2.81%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -9.38%E -5.62%K -14.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 45.68%1.85I 54.05%NM 54.32%-0.5%2026-08-16 20:04
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%-0.0%2026-08-16 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%0.2%2026-08-16 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-08-16 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-08-16 20:05
ProphetX2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%0.7%2026-08-16 20:05
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-16 20:00
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-16 20:05
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.1%2026-08-16 20:05
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.4%2026-08-16 20:05