Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics v Texas Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-04-15 01:45 UTC

Final: Athletics 2–1 Texas Rangers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 45.87%2.18fair odd
EV -0.922%
Edge -0.427%
Kelly -0.795%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.44%45.96%45.74%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.072.092.1650.51%48.21%47.85%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 54.13%1.85fair odd
EV -0.941%
Edge -0.514%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.04%54.26%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.771.771.8359.17%56.42%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 45.87%; Texas Rangers (Visit): 54.13%. For Athletics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.16, with an expected value of -0.922%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -0.922%E -0.427%K -0.795%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-15 01:15
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.38%E -0.642%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-15 00:10
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.38%E -0.642%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -5.27%E -3.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 00:50
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.38%E -0.642%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.81%E -3.34%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 21:44
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.38%E -0.642%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.38%E -0.642%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 21:45
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.38%E -0.642%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.90%E -4.01%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.38%E -0.642%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.90%E -4.01%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 21:45
BetUS🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.84%E -0.860%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 01:30
Everygame🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.76%E -1.30%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.48%E -0.814%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-14 23:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.22%E -1.52%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 01:04
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.941%E -0.514%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 01:39
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 21:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 18:40
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 22:45
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 22:45
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 22:35
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.73%E -2.69%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 01:27
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.27%E -3.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 21:49
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.27%E -3.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 21:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.81%E -3.34%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 22:25
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:49
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.98%E -4.69%K -11.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -4.13%E -1.98%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -0.941%E -0.514%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-15 01:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -4.13%E -1.98%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -0.941%E -0.514%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-15 01:39
DraftKings🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.13%E -1.98%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.73%E -2.69%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 22:45
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.59%E -2.21%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.27%E -3.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 01:15
SportsBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.05%E -2.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.73%E -2.69%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 21:55
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.05%E -2.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.73%E -2.69%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 01:15
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.05%E -2.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.73%E -2.69%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 01:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -5.51%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -0.941%E -0.514%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-15 01:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.51%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.73%E -2.69%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 01:34
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 01:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.65%E -2.05%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 01:39
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 01:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -6.43%E -3.15%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -2.02%E -1.12%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 01:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -6.43%E -3.15%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -2.02%E -1.12%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 01:30
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.34%E -3.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 01:25
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.34%E -3.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 01:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.34%E -3.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 01:25
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.34%E -3.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 01:25
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.34%E -3.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 01:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.34%E -3.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 01:30
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.34%E -3.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 01:25
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.34%E -3.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 01:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.34%E -3.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.11%E -1.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 01:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.34%E -3.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.11%E -1.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 01:30
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.34%E -3.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.11%E -1.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 01:25
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.34%E -3.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.11%E -1.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 01:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 01:40
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 01:40
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.27%E -3.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 23:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -8.52%E -5.04%K -12.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -9.18%E -4.64%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -3.65%E -2.05%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 01:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-04-15 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-04-15 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-04-15 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-04-15 01:40
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-04-15 01:39
ProphetX2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%1.6%2026-04-15 01:40
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-04-15 01:40
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.1%2026-04-15 01:40
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%6.0%2026-04-15 01:40